San Diego State Aztecs vs Oregon State Beavers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/16/2023

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 16, 2023

Venue:  Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SDSU +24.5, OR State -24.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  SDSU +24.5, OR State -24.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SDSU +24.5, OR State -24.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

San Diego State Aztecs:  2-1 (0-0) (4th place, MWC)

Oregon State Beavers:  2-0 (0-0) (4th place, Pac-12)

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San Diego State Aztecs:  lost their last game at home against the UCLA Bruins 35-10.

Oregon State Beavers:  won their last game at home against the UC Davis Aggies 55-7.

San Diego State is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against UCLA 35-10. Jalen Mayden was the starting QB and he completed 19/37 passes for 196 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Kenan Christon led the team in rushing yards with 27. Mekhi Shaw led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Zyrus Fiaseu led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Zyrus Fiaseu and Daniel Okpoko each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Oregon State is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UC Davis 55-7. DJ Uiagalelei was the starting QB and he completed 8/13 passes for 107 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Damien Martinez led the team in rushing yards with 104 and 1 TD. Silas Bolden led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Tyrice Ivy Jr. led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Isaac Hodgins, Sione Lolohea, and Takari Hickle each led the defense in sacks with 1. Easton Mascarenas came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Oregon State listed as a 24.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon State is off to a great start this season with their 2-0 record overall and they already have some big blowout wins under their belt. They have a really good team with their new QB and they also have a great record in their home games over the last few years. Oregon State is also one of the few Pac-12 teams that doesn't really have a power 5 conference to go to next year so they are going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder all season as they try to prove how good they really are. San Diego State has had a rougher start to their season as they stumbled against UCLA at home in their last game and haven't really been able to do much on offense in their games. They do have a good defense but weren't able to stop UCLA last week at home and now they will be on the road against another good offense that rarely loses games at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon State to cover the spread in this game.

San Diego State Oregon State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 16, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is OR State 45 SDSU 17.

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San Diego State Aztecs: 16-24 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 17-24 ATS against Pac Twelve conference opponents. 54-27 UNDER as a road underdog. 20-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49.

Oregon State Beavers: 20-8 ATS in all games. 14-5 ATS as a favorite. 13-0 ATS in home games. 22-12 UNDER after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game. 8-3 UNDER after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games. 

San Diego State Aztecs:  None.

Oregon State Beavers:  A. Gould (WR) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. T. Reddicks (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

“I’m really disappointed in our coaching, how we reacted in several situations. It changes your momentum [when you botch a scoring drive],” he added. “It changes the vibe that your team had.” - Brady Hoke on his coaching after his team’s loss against UCLA in their last game. 

“He can move and he’s tough to tackle. He’s been effective red zone, short yardage. We want to use his athleticism and strength.” - Jonathan Smith on DJ Uiagalelei after his team’s win against UC Davis in their last game.

WR Nicholson, Joshua 

WR Penny, Brionne  

WR Shaw, Mekhi 

TE Redman, Mark 

QB Mayden, Jalen 

RB Christon, Kenan 

FB Gardinera, Nick

WR Gould, Anthony 

WR Irish, Jesiah 

WR Bolden, Silas 

TE Velling, Jack 

TE Terry II, Jermaine  

QB Uiagalelei, DJ 

RB Martinez, Damien 

Passing: J. Mayden (447)

Rushing: J. Mayden (174)

Receiving: M. Shaw (128)

Touchdowns: M. Redman (2)

Passing: D. Uiagalelei (346)

Rushing: D. Martinez (249)

Receiving: S. Bolden (118)

Touchdowns: D. Uiagalelei (3)

Coaches:

San Diego State Aztecs: Brady Hoke (4th season)

Oregon State Beavers: Jonathan Smith (6th season)