San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/09/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, February 9, 2024

Venue:  Lawlor Events Center, Reno, NV 

Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SDSU +1.5, Nevada -1.5; Over/Under:  141.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  SDSU +1.5, Nevada -1.5; Over/Under:  141.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SDSU +1.5, Nevada -1.5; Over/Under:  141.5 points

San Diego State Aztecs:  18-5 (7-3) (3rd place, MWC)

Nevada Wolf Pack:  18-5 (5-4) (6th place, MWC)

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San Diego State Aztecs:  3-2  last 5

Nevada Wolf Pack:  3-2  last 5

San Diego State is entering this game with an 18-5 record overall, a 7-3 record in conference games, and they are 4-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Air Force Falcons in their last game. Reese Waters led the team in points per game in that game with 15 while Micah Parrish and Jaedon LeDee each were next on the team with 14. Darrion Trammell led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Jaedon LeDee led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.2 PPG against them. San Diego State has an ATS record of 9-12 this season and their O/U record is 13-8.

Nevada is entering this game with an 18-5 record overall, a 5-4 conference record, and they are 11-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Utah State Aggies in their last game. Nick Davidson led the team in points in that game with 25 while Kenan Blackshear was next on the team with 18. Jarod Lucas and Kenan Blackshear each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Nick Davidson led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.9% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 76% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.1 PPG against them. Nevada has an ATS record of 14-8 this season and their O/U record is 8-14.

The current betting odds have Nevada listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Nevada has looked good in their games this season with their 18-5 record overall and their 5-4 conference record which has them in the top half of the conference right now. They haven't looked as good since entering conference play as they looked a lot better in their non-conference games, but they do have some momentum now from a big road win against Utah State in their last one. Nevada has also looked great on their home court all season with their 11-1 home record. Meanwhile, San Diego State has also looked good in their games this season with their 18-5 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked really good in the Mountain West this year with their 7-3 conference record which has them right near the top, but they haven't looked as good in their road games. They have looked a lot worse in their road games this season with their 4-5 road record and that is going to be a big factor here with 2 teams that have been playing so well all year. Nevada has looked a lot better in their games lately too and they have the edge on their home court with the momentum from that win against Utah State. The best way to place a bet here is on Nevada to cover the spread in this game. 

San Diego State Nevada Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, February 9, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Nevada 77 SDSU 71.

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San Diego State Aztecs: 2-7 ATS in road games. 1-7 ATS after 3 straight games forcing the opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. 2-7 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. 5-1 UNDER as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 9-4 UNDER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.

Nevada Wolf Pack: 17-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 10-5 ATS after 5 straight games forcing the opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. 31-20 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. 22-14 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 11-4 UNDER after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games. 8-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins.

San Diego State Aztecs:  None.

Nevada Wolf Pack:  T. Pope (F) Ques Fri - Quadricep. I. Hymes (G) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Powell (G) out for season - Redshirt.

“I’m ecstatic to get out of here with a win.” - Brian Dutcher after his team’s win against AFA in their last game on Tuesday.

“Nick Davidson was terrific. And he’s been trending that way. He’s been having a really good year, but he’s playing at a really high level right now.” - Steve Alford after his team’s win against USU in their last game on Tuesday.

L. Butler 

R. Dixon-Waters 

J. Ledee 

M. Parrish 

E. Saunders

K. Blackshear 

T. Coleman 

N. Davidson 

K. Hymes 

J. Lucas

PPG: J. Ledee (20)

APG: L. Butler (3.3)

Reb/G: J. Ledee (8.6)

PPG: J. Lucas (17)

APG: K. Blackshear (4.7)

Reb/G: N. Davidson (7)

Coaches:

San Diego State Aztecs: Brian Dutcher (7th season)

Nevada Wolf Pack: Steve Alford (5th season)