by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 01, 2021
Game Time: 11:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 6, 2021
Venue: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: SDSU -7.5, Hawaii +7.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: SDSU -7.5, Hawaii +7.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: SDSU -7.5, Hawaii +7.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
San Diego State Aztecs: 7-1 (2nd place, MW West)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 4-5 (5th place, MW West)
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San Diego State Aztecs vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
San Diego State Aztecs: lost at home on October 30 against the Fresno State Bulldogs 30-20.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: lost on the road on Oct. 30 against the Utah State Aggies 51-31.
San Diego State Aztecs Analysis
SDSU is coming into this college football game on Saturday night with a 7-1 record overall and they are 3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th conference matchup of the year and they are in an alright position with a 3-1 record in their Mountain West Conference games this season. They opened their season with 7 straight wins but that streak was snapped in their last game as they were handed their first loss of the season by Fresno State. They lost that game 30-20 in a game that they went down early in the first half and could not recover from it as they trailed the entire game. Lucas Johnson did not have a good game in that one as he completed 14/31 passes for 220 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Greg Bell led the team in rushing with 63 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries. while Johnson had 60 rushing yards himself on 8 carries. Elijah Kothe had a nice day as he led the receivers with 105 yards on 4 receptions while Tyrell Shavers caught the only touchdown pass in that game for them. Patrick McMorris led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one while Trenton Thompson was right behind with 5 solo tackles. Cameron Thomas and Jonah Tavai both recorded 1 sack each in that game while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 237 points in their 8 games this season averaging 29.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 140 points against them allowing 17.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 290.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 244.5 YPG.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Analysis
Hawaii is coming into this game with a 4-5 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this college football season where they will be in this game. This will be the 5th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are pretty much out of title contention with a 1-3 record in their MWC games this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and they are coming off of a loss against USU in their last game. They trailed right from the first quarter of that game and never recovered as they trailed the entire time and went on to lose the game. Chevan Cordeiro played alright in that game as he completed 23/39 passes for 296 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Brayden Schager also got some snaps at the quarterback position and did not play well in that limited time completing 4/7 passes for 52 yards and 1 interception. Dedrick Parson led the team in rushing with 30 yards on 10 carries but they did not have much of a ground game in that one. Parson had a very nice day receiving though as he led the receivers with 115 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions while Calvin Turner Jr. was right behind him with 110 yards and 1 TD on 8 receptions. Koali Nishigaya caught the other touchdown pass in that game. Solomon Turner led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles, 4 assisted ones and 1 sack while Darius Muasau and Khoury Bethley were both right behind with 5 solo tackles, 11 assisted ones and 5 solo tackles, 1 assisted one respectively. Turner had the only sack in that game for his team while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 263 points in their 9 games this season averaging 29.2 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 305 points against them allowing 33.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 415.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 461.6 YPG.
San Diego State vs Hawaii Prediction
Hawaii is coming into this game as a 7.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Hawaii has not been playing well in their conference games but they are a very good team at home likely due to the travel aspect and the general location for some of these teams travelling there. A lot of teams tend to treat it a bit like a mini vacation too which usually becomes evident on the field with a poor performance. SDSU is coming off of their first loss of the season and their defense did not have a good game in that one. SDSU is a very defensive team so if they are not keeping teams from scoring then they cannot win games. They went down early in their last game and their offense could not do anything to make a quick comeback in that one. They will likely bounce back in this game but with the game being in Hawaii, the best bet to place in this one is on Hawaii to cover the spread here.
San Diego State Hawaii Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, Nov 6, 2021 (11:00 pm ET start time) is SDSU 21 Hawaii 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
San Diego State Aztecs: 169-165 ATS in all games. 32-31 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 28-27 ATS as a road favorite. 87-75 ATS in road games. 117-106 ATS against conference opponents.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: 33-43 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 165-185 ATS in all games. 97-111 ATS as an underdog. 99-103 ATS in home games. 98-129 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
San Diego State Aztecs: Z. Thomas (OL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: D. Hunter (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
“It feels really crappy. This one hurts. I told the team if it doesn’t hurt, they should leave the program.” - Brady Hoke after their first loss of the season.
"I threw a couple on Monday, and felt good. The whole week, I had that mindset I was going to play. ... I got my zip back. I was fully 100 (percent )." - Quarterback Chevan Cordeiro on coming back from an injury.
Starting Lineups
San Diego State Aztecs
WR Shavers, Tyrell
WR Jesse Matthews
WR Busbee, BJ
TE Daniel Bellinger
TE Rudolph, Jay
QB Johnson, Lucas
RB Bell, Greg
RB Byrd, Jordan
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
WR Nick Mardner
WR Jared Smart
RB/WR Turner Jr., Calvin
TE Phillips, Caleb
QB Cordeiro, Chevan
RB Dae Dae Hunter
Statistical Leaders
San Diego State Aztecs
Passing: Jordon Brookshire (560)
Rushing: G. Bell (666)
Receiving: D. Bellinger (216)
Touchdowns: G. Bell (6)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Passing: C. Cordeiro (1706)
Rushing: D. Hunter (558)
Receiving: C. Turner (624)
Touchdowns: C. Turner (7)
Coaches:
San Diego State Aztecs: Brady Hoke (2nd season)
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: Todd Graham (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
