San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/01/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, November 1, 2024

Venue:  Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SDSU +23.5, BSU -23.5; Over/Under:  56 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  SDSU +23.5, BSU -23.5; Over/Under:  56 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SDSU +23.5, BSU -23.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

San Diego State Aztecs:  3-4 (2-0) (3rd place, MWC)

Boise State Broncos:  6-1 (3-0) (1st place, MWC)

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San Diego State Aztecs:  lost their last game at home against the Washington State Cougars 29-26.

Boise State Broncos:  won their last game on the road against the UNLV Rebels 29-24.

San Diego State is entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Washington State 29-26. Danny O'Neil was the starting QB and he completed 22/34 passes for 195 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Marquez Cooper led the team in rushing yards with 78 and 2 TDs. Ja'Shaun Poke led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Chris Johnson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Deshawn McCuin led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Boise State is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UNLV 29-24. Maddux Madsen was the starting QB and he completed 18/33 passes for 209 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 128 and 1 TD. Austin Bolt led the receivers with 43 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Alexander Teubner led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Seyi Oladipo and Jayden Virgin each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Andrew Simpson came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 23.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 3-0 conference record which has them at the top of the Mountain West. They also have a running back who is in the conversation for the Heisman Trophy this season, Ashton Jeanty. Meanwhile, San Diego State hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 3-4 record overall, but they are 2-0 in their conference games which has them near the top of the MWC. They are coming off a loss to Washington State in their last game which was a non-conference game, but even in some of their conference games they have struggled against weaker opponents. Boise State has had a much stronger schedule this season with their 1 loss even coming against the number 1 team in the country, losing by 3 points on the road at Oregon. Their defense has struggled at times, but their offense has been rolling over teams and they will be able to put up a ton of points in this home game which San Diego State will not be able to keep up with. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game. 

San Diego State Boise State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 1, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is BSU 56 SDSU 20.

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San Diego State Aztecs: 2-5 ATS off a home loss. 0-3 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 4-1 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 5-1 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.

Boise State Broncos: 11-3 ATS in home lined games. 13-5 ATS against conference opponents. 9-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-1 1H ATS off a road win.

San Diego State Aztecs:  P. Wesley (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Borjon (OL) Questionable - Knee/Ankle. K. Christon (RB) Questionable - Ankle. C. Rhaney (RB) Out - Knee.

Boise State Broncos:  J. Dubar (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Reed (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Randolph (OL) Out - Undisclosed. R. Carreon (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Gaines (RB) Questionable - Knee. K. Anderson (TE) Out - Knee.

“It was a coach's decision where we have incredibly high standards and expectations in our program that everyone knows very, very clearly.” - Sean Lewis after his team’s loss against WSU in their last game. 

“You talk about an absolute warrior. Every single (yard) was earned. He's the best football player in the country.” - Spencer Danielson after his team’s win against UNLV in their last game. 

WR Shaw, Mekhi 

WR Napier, Jordan

WR Poke, Ja'Shaun

WR Brown IV, Louis

TE Wolfe, Jude 

TE Tanner, Logan

QB O'Neil, Danny 

RB Cooper, Marquez

WR Strachan, Prince

WR Bolt, Austin 

WR Caples, Latrell 

TE Lauter, Matt 

QB Madsen, Maddux 

RB Jeanty, Ashton

FB Crowe, Tyler 

Passing: D. O'Neil (1240)

Rushing: M. Cooper (748)

Receiving: L. Brown (379)

Touchdowns: M. Cooper (8)

Passing: M. Madsen (1482)

Rushing: A. Jeanty (1376)

Receiving: C. Camper (477)

Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (19)

Coaches:

San Diego State Aztecs: Sean Lewis (1st season)

Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (2nd season)