San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2023

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +100, Blue Jays -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +100, Blue Jays -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +100, Blue Jays -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

San Diego Padres:  44-50 (4th place, NL West)

Toronto Blue Jays:  53-41 (3rd place, AL East)

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San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  8-2 last 10

The Padres are entering this series on a 3 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-50 record overall and have a road record of 19-27. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Joe Musgrove is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Yu Darvish is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-6 with a 4.65 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Blue Jays are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-41 record overall and have a home record of 26-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Alek Manoah is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while José Berríos is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-6 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been struggling to make a move in their division all season as they have been stuck in 4th place, but now they have moved up into 3rd past the Yankees and they are starting to roll in their games lately as they look to surge up the standings some more. The Padres haven't been having a good season though since their offense hasn't been great and they still have a losing record which means they could be looking at selling when the trade deadline comes. They haven't been good in their road games either while the Jays have been great in their home games all season and the Padres offense won't be able to compete here with the Blue Jays offense getting hot now. Berrios is also starting for the Blue Jays and he has been pitching a lot better lately, not giving up as many runs in his starts, and he should have no problem shutting down this ice cold Padres lineup at home here. The Padres also have Darvish starting for them and he is not the same starter he was last season or even at the World Baseball Classic earlier this year. Darvish has been terrible in his starts all year giving up a ton of runs and the Blue Jays offense will be able to take advantage of his poor pitching here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Padres Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 19, 2023 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 6 Padres 1.

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San Diego Padres: 44-50 (-22 units) on the moneyline in all games. 19-27 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline in road games. 21-11 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 17-6 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Toronto Blue Jays: 22-15 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 19-7 (+10.7 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 11-5 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 24-16 UNDER in home games.

San Diego Padres:  S. Wilson (SP) Ques Tues - Pectoral. A. Morejon (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Carlton (RP) Late July - Elbow. M. Wacha (SP) Late July - Shoulder. E. Rosario (3B) Late July - Ankle. R. Suarez (SP) Late July - Arm. R. Knehr (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.

Toronto Blue Jays:  J. Romano (RP) Ques Tues - Back. K. Gausman (SP) day-to-day - Abdominal. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Late July - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“I thought we were going to pull out a `W' tonight. Played great defense. Put together some good at- bats, but we weren’t quite able to finish it. One thing they’re good at is not missing mistakes, and I made a couple of mistakes and paid the price for it.” - Seth Lugo after their loss against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

“We wanted to use the off day tomorrow to our advantage. He was feeling a lot better today than he did yesterday.” - John Schneider on Jordan Romano after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Sunday.

Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B

Juan Soto (L) LF

Manny Machado (R) 3B

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B

Gary Sanchez (R) C

Matt Carpenter (L) DH

Brandon Dixon (R) RF

Trent Grisham (L) CF

George Springer (R) RF

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Matt Chapman (R) 3B

Whit Merrifield (R) LF

Danny Jansen (R) C

Alejandro Kirk (R) DH

Santiago Espinal (R) 2B

Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.500)

Hits:  Fernando Tatis (88)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (17)

RBI:  Manny Machado (51)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (17)

Wins:  Michael Wacha (8)

Saves:  Josh Hader (22)

ERA:  Pedro Avila (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.429)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (126)

Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (16)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (60)

Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (19)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (9)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (26)

ERA:  Jay Jackson (1.00)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)