San Diego Padres vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/18/2023

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  SNET

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -110, Blue Jays -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -110, Blue Jays -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -110, Blue Jays -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

San Diego Padres:  44-50 (4th place, NL West)

Toronto Blue Jays:  53-41 (3rd place, AL East)

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San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  8-2 last 10

The Padres are entering this series on a 3 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-50 record overall and have a road record of 19-27. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Seth Lugo was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Joe Musgrove is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-2 with a 3.29 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the New York Mets.

The Blue Jays are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-41 record overall and have a home record of 26-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-7 with a 5.91 ERA this season. His team lost 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 8 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't been good this season with a really bad offense but they have been getting better in their games lately. They did lose 3 games in a row to the Phillies over the weekend but their offense has been putting up more runs in those games and they will be able to carry that momentum into this game where they will have a better pitching matchup. The Padres have Musgrove starting in this game and he has been the 1 constant on this team since he hasn't been giving up many runs in any of his starts despite missing a bit of time at the beginning of the year for injury. He will be able to shut down this Blue Jays lineup that has been really up and down in their games lately and the Jays are going with Manoah in this game who has struggled a lot this season. Manoah has been terrible in his starts all year since he has been giving up a lot more runs than he has ever given up before in his career. He was sent down to the minors for a bit before getting called back up to start against the Tigers in his last start, but that was also a very soft landing spot for him. The Padres offense hasn't been good this season but they are starting to get hot now as they are scoring more runs and Manoah could easily have another implosion on the mound here like he has been doing all season. The Padres are also going to be desperate to make something happen here and try to turn their season around before the trade deadline. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.

Padres Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 18, 2023 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Padres 5 Blue Jays 1.

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San Diego Padres: 44-50 (-22 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-27 (-20.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 13-6 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 11-3 UNDER after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more.

Toronto Blue Jays: 22-15 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 19-7 (+10.7 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 11-5 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 11-5 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.

San Diego Padres:  S. Wilson (SP) Ques Tues - Pectoral. A. Morejon (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Carlton (RP) Late July - Elbow. M. Wacha (SP) Late July - Shoulder. E. Rosario (3B) Late July - Ankle. R. Suarez (SP) Late July - Arm. R. Knehr (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.

Toronto Blue Jays:  J. Romano (RP) Ques Tues - Back. K. Gausman (SP) day-to-day - Abdominal. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Late July - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“I thought we were going to pull out a `W' tonight. Played great defense. Put together some good at- bats, but we weren’t quite able to finish it. One thing they’re good at is not missing mistakes, and I made a couple of mistakes and paid the price for it.” - Seth Lugo after their loss against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

“We wanted to use the off day tomorrow to our advantage. He was feeling a lot better today than he did yesterday.” - John Schneider on Jordan Romano after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Sunday.

Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B

Juan Soto (L) LF

Manny Machado (R) 3B

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B

Gary Sanchez (R) C

Matt Carpenter (L) DH

Brandon Dixon (R) RF

Trent Grisham (L) CF

George Springer (R) RF

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Matt Chapman (R) 3B

Whit Merrifield (R) LF

Danny Jansen (R) C

Alejandro Kirk (R) DH

Santiago Espinal (R) 2B

Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

Batting Average:  Matthew Batten (.500)

Hits:  Fernando Tatis (88)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (17)

RBI:  Manny Machado (51)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (17)

Wins:  Michael Wacha (8)

Saves:  Josh Hader (22)

ERA:  Pedro Avila (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.429)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (126)

Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (16)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (60)

Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (19)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (9)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (26)

ERA:  Jay Jackson (1.00)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)