San Diego Padres vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Odds and Preview - mm/dd/yyyy

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, September 18, 2021
Venue:  Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Where to Watch:  BSMW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Cardinals -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  76-70 (3rd place, NL West)
St Louis Cardinals:  76-69 (2nd place, NL Central)
 
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San Diego Padres vs St Louis Cardinals Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10
St Louis Cardinals:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The SD Padres are coming into this game as the road underdog after winning their last 2 games. This will be the 2nd game of a three-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals with Friday's game, the series-openers, still to be played, the result is pending. The Padres have won 2 games straight now after tying their series with the San Francisco Giants. They were swept in the series prior to that against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Vince Velasquez will be getting the nod for Friday's game while Yu Darvish will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Saturday. Darvish is 8-10 with a 4.32 ERA this season. The Padres have actually lost 4 of the last 5 games that he has started in. In his last start, he allowed 8 ER, 4 of them being HR, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits through 4 IP against the San Francisco Giants last Monday. He has not faced the Cardinals lineup all year so this will be his first time facing them this season. The Padres offense has scored 18 runs in their last 4 games averaging over 4 runs scored per game in that span. They have also allowed their opponents to score 25 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 6 runs per game.
 

St Louis Cardinals Analysis

The Cardinals are coming into this contest on a 5 game winning streak and have won 7 of their last 8 games. They got the sweep against the New York Mets in their last series and won 2 of the 3 games against the Cincinnati Reds in the series prior to that one. Miles Mikolas will be the starter for the game on Friday night while Adam Wainwright will be throwing the first pitch for the Cards in this game on Saturday. He is 16-7 with a 2.88 ERA this season. The Cardinals have won the last 5 games that he has started in and have just 1 loss in their last 11 games when he is on the bump. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings of work against the New York Mets last Monday. He has seen this Padres lineup once this season back in May when he was credited with the loss allowing 6 runs scored against him in that game. The Cardinals offense has scored 25 runs in their last 3 games averaging a little over 8 runs scored per game in that span. They have also allowed their opponents to score 10 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 3 runs per game. 
 

 

Padres vs Cardinals Prediction

Both of these teams are in the hunt for a playoff spot as the regular season winds down. The STL Cardinals are currently sitting in the final National League wildcard spot with the Padres sitting just 0.5 games behind them. This is a very important series to both sides as whoever comes out as the winner of this series will have an advantage over the other to make the postseason. The Padres batters have finally woken up after going through a bad slump at the wrong time but the Cardinals have been really hot for over a week now. The momentum is with them and, despite Wainwright's performance against them earlier this year, they have the pitching advantage in this game with the starting pitchers. The Cardinals are also scoring consistently in their recent games. It is a sprint to the finish line in these last few games of the baseball season. The Padres are slight underdogs and for good reason. The best bet to make in this game is on the Cardinals to come out as the winners here.
 
Padres Cardinals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 18, 2021 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Cardinals 6 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 76-70 (-27.9 units) on the money line in all games. 55-45 (-11.3 units) on the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5. 
St Louis Cardinals: 76-69 (+5.8 units) on the money line in all games. 31-22 (+5.3 units) on the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5.
 

Key Injured List

 
San Diego Padres:  J. Cronenworth (SS) Out indefinitely - Finger injury. B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury.
St Louis Cardinals:  J. Fernandez (RP) Out indefinitely - Back injury. R. Helsley (RP) out for season - Elbow injury. W. LeBlanc (SP) out for season - Elbow injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
San Diego Padres: Adam Frazier is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in batting average and in hits. He will need to step up here and get on base to help his team make a push for the playoffs. Look for him to get some hits in this one.
 
St Louis Cardinals: Paul Goldschmidt is one player to watch here. He leads his team in batting average and in hits and he will want to get some here in such an important series. Look for him to get some hits as his team is looking for a playoff spot.
 

Notable Quotes

"It feels good, especially the way we played the last couple of days. Pitchers have been huge and, obviously, you've seen the shift offensively." - Jayce Tingler after winning 2 straight against the Giants.
 
 
"We're going to have a lot of fun down the stretch. Looking forward to seeing where it ends up." - Harrison Bader after sweeping the Mets in the series.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
J. Profar RF
F. Tatis Jr. SS
M. Machado 3B
A. Frazier 2B
T. Pham LF
E. Hosmer 1B
A. Nola C
T. Grisham CF
P. Johnson P
 
St Louis Cardinals
T. Edman 2B
P. Goldschmidt 1B
T. O'Neill LF
N. Arenado 3B
Y. Molina C
D. Carlson RF
E. Sosa SS
H. Bader CF
J. Lester P
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  A. Frazier (.308)
Hits:  A. Frazier (162)
Home Runs:  F. Tatis Jr. (39)
RBI:  M. Machado (93)
Stolen Bases:  F. Tatis Jr. (25)
Wins:  J. Musgrove (11)
Saves:  M. Melancon (37)
ERA:  D. Pomeranz (1.75)
 
St Louis Cardinals
Batting Average:  P. Goldschmidt (.289)
Hits:  P. Goldschmidt (158)
Home Runs:  N. Arenado (32)
RBI:  N. Arenado (99)
Stolen Bases:  T. Edman (25)
Wins:  A. Wainwright (16)
Saves:  A. Reyes (29)
ERA:  T. McFarland (1.82)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Jayce Tingler (2nd season)
St Louis Cardinals: Mike Shildt (4th season)
 

Weather Forecast

80 degrees F partly cloudy, 68% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 5 mph wind speeds W.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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