San Diego Padres vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/19/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 2:15 pm ET, Sunday, September 19, 2021
Venue:  Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Where to Watch:  BSSD


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Cardinals -115; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +100, Cardinals -120; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Cardinals -115; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  76-71 (3rd place, NL West)
St Louis Cardinals:  77-69 (2nd place, NL Central)
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San Diego Padres vs St Louis Cardinals Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  3-7 last 10
St Louis Cardinals:  8-2 last 10

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this matchup after losing the series opener of this three-game series on Friday night 8-2 against the Cardinals. That loss snapped a little 2 game run they were on now giving them just 2 wins in their last 8 games. They had just tied with the San Francisco Giants in a four-game series after getting swept in the series prior to that by the LA Dodgers, and now they are on the road to losing another series. The 2nd game of this series on Saturday has not been played yet and that result is still pending. Yu Darvish is getting the nod in that Saturday game while Jake Arrieta will be the starting pitcher on the mound for them in this game on Sunday. He is 5-13 with a 7.05 ERA this season. He has been credited with 9 straight losses himself and the team he has started for has lost their last 11 games in a row with him on the mound. He has started 3 times for the Padres since coming over from the Chicago Cubs and they have lost all 3 times. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 5 hits through 3.2 IP against the Giants last Tuesday. He also hit a batter with a pitch in that game. This will be his first time facing the Cardinals lineup this season and they have been hot with their bats recently. The Padres offense has scored 20 runs in their last 5 games averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span. They have allowed their opponents to score 33 runs against them in that same span allowing over 6 runs per game.

St Louis Cardinals Analysis

The STL Cardinals are coming into this game on a 6 game winning streak as they have now won 8 of their last 10 games played. They have really started to heat up here as the season is winding down, sweeping the New York Mets in their last series. Adam Wainwright will be the starter for them in Saturday's game while J.A. Happ will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Sunday. He is 9-8 this season with a 6.00 ERA. He is 4-2 as a starter since coming over from the Minnesota Twins but has actually lost 2 of his last 3 starts. In his last time out, he allowed 0 ER and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.1 innings of work against the Cincinnati Reds last Sunday. This will be his first time facing the Padres lineup this season as he recently came over from the American League. The Cardinals offense has scored 33 runs in their last 4 games averaging over 8 runs scored per game in that span. They have allowed their opponents to score 12 runs against them in that same span allowing 3 runs per game.


Padres vs Cardinals Prediction

The SD Padres have been sent into a spiral this last week as they just keep losing games during the most important time of the season. They now sit 1.5 games out of a wildcard spot sitting behind the Reds who are also not in, trying to catch the Cardinals in that final spot. The Cardinals have been doing all the right things down the stretch as the season nears its end. They are pitching well and now their batters are hitting very well too. This series is so important to both sides as they both are in the hunt for that last NL spot. The Cardinals have looked like the much better team in recent games though and they will likely win this one. Considering the pitching matchup and the talent on both teams, this one could end up having a lot of runs in it going over the total as well. Either bet on the Cardinals to win or on the over are both solid bets to make in this game.
Padres Cardinals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 19, 2021, 2021 (2:15 pm ET start time) is Cardinals 9 Padres 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

San Diego Padres: 10-23 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher.
St Louis Cardinals: 78-69 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline in all games.

Key Injured List

San Diego Padres:  J. Cronenworth (SS) Out indefinitely - Finger injury. B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury.
St Louis Cardinals:  J. Fernandez (RP) Out indefinitely - Back injury. R. Helsley (RP) out for season - Elbow injury. W. LeBlanc (SP) out for season - Elbow injury.

Players to Watch

San Diego Padres: Fernando Tatis Jr. is one player to watch here. He leads his team in home runs and in stolen bases. He can be a real threat at the plate or as a base runner so look for him to make an impact here and help his team get back into the wildcard.
St Louis Cardinals: Nolan Arenado is one player to watch in this one. He leads his team in home runs and in RBI. He will need to step up and get some big hits to help boost his team and spread the game for this last NL wildcard spot.

Notable Quotes

"I thought Miles was pretty good early. I thought we had some big at-bats. We just didn't have enough...but still some positives to build on." - Jayce Tingler on the performance of Miles Mikolas after the Padres lost on Friday night.
"I mean just coming through for the team is something I'm really proud of. Yeah, it's huge. Obviously we're just focusing on our series here, doing all we can to win it. That's a really good team over there." - Dylan Carlson on hitting 2 home runs and a grand slam to help his team make a playoff push.

Starting Lineups

San Diego Padres
J. Profar RF
F. Tatis Jr. SS
M. Machado 3B
A. Frazier 2B
T. Pham LF
E. Hosmer 1B
A. Nola C
T. Grisham CF
V. Velasquez P
St Louis Cardinals
T. Edman 2B
P. Goldschmidt 1B
T. O'Neill LF
N. Arenado 3B
Y. Molina C
D. Carlson RF
E. Sosa SS
H. Bader CF
M. Mikolas P

Statistical Leaders

San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  A. Frazier (.308)
Hits:  A. Frazier (163)
Home Runs:  F. Tatis Jr. (39)
RBI:  M. Machado (93)
Stolen Bases:  F. Tatis Jr. (25)
Wins:  J. Musgrove (11)
Saves:  M. Melancon (37)
ERA:  D. Pomeranz (1.75)
St Louis Cardinals
Batting Average:  P. Goldschmidt (.291)
Hits:  P. Goldschmidt (160)
Home Runs:  N. Arenado (32)
RBI:  N. Arenado (99)
Stolen Bases:  T. Edman (25)
Wins:  A. Wainwright (16)
Saves:  A. Reyes (29)
ERA:  L. Garcia (2.05)
San Diego Padres: Jayce Tingler (2nd season)
St Louis Cardinals: Mike Shildt (4th season)

Weather Forecast

81 degrees F scattered thunderstorms, 78% humidity, 50% chance of rain, up to 9 mph wind speeds NW.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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