San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/09/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Aug 08, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Wednesday, August 9, 2023
Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -125, Mariners +105; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -125, Mariners +105; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -125, Mariners +105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  55-58 (4th place, NL West)
Seattle Mariners:  60-52 (3rd place, AL West)

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Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10
Seattle Mariners:  8-2 last 10



San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis


The Padres are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-58 record overall and have a road record of 25-30. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Nick Martinez is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Yu Darvish is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-7 with a 4.41 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Mariners are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 4-0 in their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Angels in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-52 record overall and have a home record of 31-26. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-3 with a 4.75 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.


Padres vs Mariners Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have been rolling in their games lately as they just swept the Angels in their last series and are now 8 games over .500, putting themselves right back in the playoff conversation. The Padres have been struggling all season, they have been playing a lot better in their games lately as they are also trying to get back into the playoff conversation, but they are still under .500 on the season and have a long way to go after losing 3 of their 4 games against the Dodgers over the weekend. The Padres will also have Darvish on the mound here and even though he pitched well in his last start, he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all season and the Mariners offense has been getting really hot lately, they will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get at home here. The Mariners are going with rookie Woo in this game and he has had a few shaky starts this season but lately he has been pitching a lot better in his starts and hasn't been giving up as many runs at home this year either. The Mariners have the momentum behind right now along with the hotter offense and better pitching matchup in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Padres Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 9, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 5 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


San Diego Padres: 55-58 (-24.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-32 (-25.9 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 15-6 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. YU DARVISH is 23-13 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Seattle Mariners: 31-22 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 8-3 (+5.4 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. 8-3 UNDER against NL West opponents. 

Key Injuries


San Diego Padres:  J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Hill (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Carlton (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. M. Wacha (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. A. Jacob (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. R. Knehr (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Morejon (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.

Seattle Mariners:  M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.


Notable Quotes


“I made some mistakes out there, left some balls over the plate in some bad counts." - Seth Lugo after their loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Monday.


“We've got a fired-up team in there.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


San Diego Padres
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Ji Man Choi (L) 1B
Luis Campusano (R) C
Trent Grisham (L) CF

Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Teoscar Hernandez (R) DH
Mike Ford (L) 1B
Cade Marlowe (L) LF
Josh Rojas (L) 2B

Statistical Leaders


San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Luis Campusano (.319)
Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (108)
Home Runs:  Juan Soto (24)
RBI:  Juan Soto (72)
Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (24)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (10)
Saves:  Josh Hader (26)
ERA:  Alek Jacob (0.00)

Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.297)
Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (117)
Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (18)
RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (72)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (27)
Wins:  George Kirby (10)
Saves:  Andres Munoz (5)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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