by Rod Pearson
Monday, Aug 07, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 8, 2023
Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Padres +105, Mariners -125; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Padres +105, Mariners -125; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Padres +105, Mariners -125; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
San Diego Padres: 55-57 (4th place, NL West)
Seattle Mariners: 60-52 (3rd place, AL West)
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Recent Form
San Diego Padres: 6-4 last 10
Seattle Mariners: 8-2 last 10
San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis
The Padres entered their last series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1. They enter this game with a 55-57 record overall and have a road record of 25-30. This is the series opener of a 2-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday with the series finale of their series against the Los Angeles Dodgers still to be played on Monday. They also lost the series opener and the 3rd game of that series on Friday and Sunday but won the 2nd game on Saturday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Seth Lugo is their starting pitcher on Monday while Nick Martinez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-4 with a 3.68 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 1 hit through 3 IP against the Colorado Rockies.
The Mariners are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 4-0 in their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Angels in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-52 record overall and have a home record of 31-26. This is the 1st game of a 2-game series with the Padres on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryce Miller was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-5 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team won their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.
Padres vs Mariners Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have been rolling in their games lately as they swept the Angels over the weekend and that was a huge series for them to get back into the playoff race. Now they are 8 games above .500 with their offense playing a lot better now and they will be looking to beat up on this struggling Padres team that is still under .500 this season. The Padres will likely be having a bullpen day here and that isn't the best option for them since their bullpen has been giving up a ton of runs in their games lately. The Mariners have a much more reliable starter on the mound here with Gilbert and he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately either. The Mariners are also back at home for this series and their improving offense will continue to put up runs in this game as they overpower the Padres offense which will struggle to put up runs on Gilbert and the Mariners bullpen. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.
Padres Mariners Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 8, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 6 Padres 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
San Diego Padres: 55-57 (-22.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-32 (-25.9 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 17-7 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. NICK MARTINEZ is 12-2 UNDER in all games.
Seattle Mariners: 31-22 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 26-14 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline after 2 straight games where they committed no errors. 8-3 UNDER against NL West opponents. 10-4 UNDER when playing with a day off.
Key Injuries
San Diego Padres: J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Hill (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Carlton (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. M. Wacha (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. A. Jacob (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. R. Knehr (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Morejon (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.
Seattle Mariners: M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.
Notable Quotes
“I think he has a pretty good understanding that we needed him in that game. Cooler heads prevailed.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Saturday.
“We've got a fired-up team in there.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
San Diego Padres
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Ji Man Choi (L) 1B
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Teoscar Hernandez (R) DH
Mike Ford (L) 1B
Cade Marlowe (L) LF
Josh Rojas (L) 2B
Statistical Leaders
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Ha-Seong Kim (.287)
Hits: Xander Bogaerts (108)
Home Runs: Juan Soto (24)
RBI: Juan Soto (72)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (24)
Wins: Joe Musgrove (10)
Saves: Josh Hader (26)
ERA: Alek Jacob (0.00)
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: Tom Murphy (.297)
Hits: Julio Rodriguez (117)
Home Runs: Julio Rodriguez (18)
RBI: Eugenio Suarez (72)
Stolen Bases: Julio Rodriguez (27)
Wins: George Kirby (10)
Saves: Andres Munoz (5)
ERA: Easton McGee (0.00)
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
