by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Jun 21, 2023
Game Time: 3:45 pm ET, Thursday, June 22, 2023
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch: NBCS-BA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Padres -120, Giants +100; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Padres -120, Giants +100; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Padres -120, Giants +100; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
San Diego Padres: 35-38 (4th place, NL West)
San Francisco Giants: 41-32 (2nd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
San Diego Padres: 5-5 last 10
San Francisco Giants: 9-1 last 10
San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Preview and Analysis
The Padres are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak but won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-38 record overall and have a road record of 16-18. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Giants on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Yu Darvish is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Blake Snell is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-6 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 12 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.
The Giants are entering this game on a 9 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-32 record overall and have a home record of 20-17. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Rookie pitcher Ryan Walker is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Alex Wood is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-1 with a 4.11 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings played against the LA Dodgers.
Padres vs Giants Prediction
The current betting odds have the Giants listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Giants have been on a roll lately as they entered this series on a huge winning streak and they are not going to stop rolling until they have chased down the Diamondbacks for 1st place in the NL West. Their offense has been really good while on this run and that is going to be important since the Padres have been pitching well this season. The Padres don't have a good offense though and if the Giants get rolling in this game once again, they could put this game out of reach for the Padres easily. The Padres do have Snell starting here and he has been pitching well lately but he hasn't been great all season and has been really up and down from start to start. The Giants have Wood starting here and he hasn't been great this season but he is coming off a great start in his last one and he will be looking to repeat that performance at home here. The Giants also have their really hot offense behind them and they will be able to put up runs in this game and edge out the Padres here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Giants to win this game.
Padres Giants Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 22, 2023 (3:45 pm ET start time) is Giants 3 Padres 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
San Diego Padres: 35-38 (-14.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 12-20 (-16 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 19-8 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 21-11 UNDER in road games.
San Francisco Giants: 24-11 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 12-6 (+5.3 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 23-14 UNDER when playing on Thursday.
Key Injuries
San Diego Padres: T. Cosgrove (RP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. R. Suarez (SP) Late June - Arm. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. E. Rosario (3B) Mid July - Ankle.
San Francisco Giants: L. Wade Jr. (LF) Ques Wed - Abdominal. S. Alexander (RP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Cobb (SP) Early July - Oblique. W. Flores (1B) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Brebbia (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Haniger (RF) Late Aug - Forearm. R. Stripling (SP) Late June - Back. H. Ramos (LF) Late July - Oblique. T. Szapucki (SP) out for season - Arm. R. Perez (C) out for season - Shoulder. L. Gonzalez (CF) Mid July - Back.
Notable Quotes
“He's eager to get back out there.” - Bob Melvin on the potential return of Seth Lugo after his team’s loss against the Giants in their game on Monday.
“I really do think this is a team thing that’s happening right now. There’s a lot of trust from one player to the next. Guys are celebrating and comfortable taking walks. Obviously, the Joc walk was big for us.” - Gabe Kapler after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Rougned Odor (L) DH
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Austin Nola (R) C
San Francisco Giants
Joc Pederson (L) DH
Thairo Estrada (R) 2B
J.D. Davis (R) 3B
Michael Conforto (L) LF
Mike Yastrzemski (L) RF
Luis Matos (R) CF
Patrick Bailey (S) C
Brandon Crawford (L) SS
David Villar (R) 1B
Statistical Leaders
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Fernando Tatis (.291)
Hits: Xander Bogaerts (66)
Home Runs: Fernando Tatis (15)
RBI: Juan Soto (37)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (12)
Wins: Michael Wacha (7)
Saves: Josh Hader (18)
ERA: Tom Cosgrove (0.53)
San Francisco Giants
Batting Average: Austin Slater (.423)
Hits: Thairo Estrada (73)
Home Runs: Michael Conforto (12)
RBI: J.D. Davis (40)
Stolen Bases: Thairo Estrada (17)
Wins: Logan Webb (6)
Saves: Camilo Doval (19)
ERA: Luke Jackson (1.23)
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
