San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/14/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 9:45 pm ET, Tuesday, September 14, 2021
Venue:  Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +150, Giants -170; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +145, Giants -165; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +135, Giants -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  74-68 (3rd place, NL West)
San Francisco Giants:  93-50 (1st place, NL West)
 
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San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10
San Francisco Giants:  9-1 last 10
 
 
 

Offensive Analysis

 
The San Diego Padres are ranked 18 in the league for batting average (.240), 13 in the league for RBI (613), 21 in the league for hits (1127), and they are ranked 10 in the league for OBP (.322). The San Francisco Giants are ranked 8 in the league for batting average (.248), 6 in the league for RBI (674), 7 in the league for hits (1194), and they are ranked 7 in the league for OBP (.327).
 

Defensive Analysis

 
The San Diego Padres are ranked 9 in the league for ERA (3.82), 6 in the league for saves (41), 7 in the league for strikeouts (1346), and they are ranked 9 in the league for WHIP (1.22). The San Francisco Giants are ranked 2 in the league for ERA (3.27), 1 in the league for saves (51), 15 in the league for strikeouts (1252), and they are ranked 2 in the league for WHIP (1.14).
 

 

Padres vs Giants Prediction

The San Diego Padres are taking on the San Francisco Giants in the 2nd matchup of a four-game series on Tuesday. The series opener is on Monday with that result still pending. The Padres have now lost 3 games in a row after getting swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers in a three-game series. The Giants have now won their last 7 games straight sweeping the Cubs and the Colorado Rockies in their last 2 series.
 
The Padres are coming into this game after losing to the Dodgers on Sunday 8-0. Yu Darvish will be getting the nod on Monday while Jake Arrieta will be the starting pitcher for this game on Tuesday. He is 5-12 with a 7.04 ERA this season. Arrieta recently came over from the Chicago Cubs and the Padres have lost both games that he has started in so far. Even worse though, Arrieta's team has lost the last 10 games that he was the starter in going back to his days on the Cubs. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Houston Astros. He has seen this Giants lineup once this seen back when he was on the Cubs and he was credited with the loss allowing 6 runs scored against him in that game. The Padres' offense has not looked good in their recent games. They have put up just 9 runs in their last 5 games averaging under 2 runs scored per game. The worst part is, they went scoreless in 3 of their last 5 games. This is a team that has just dropped out of the final wildcard spot in the NL and seems to be on a downward spiral right now.
 
The Giants are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the Cubs on Sunday 6-5. Dominic Leone will be the starter for Monday's game while Anthony DeSclafani will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Tuesday. He is 11-6 with a 3.33 ERA this season. The team has had some success with him recently winning their last 2 and 4 of their last 6 when he has been the starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 4.1 innings of work against the Rockies. He has seen this Padres lineup 3 times this season and there was a no-decision in 2 of those games while he was credited with the loss in the other. He has allowed 7 runs total against them this year. The Giants' offense has definitely been awake here as they have put up 61 runs on their 7 game winning streak. They have been averaging almost 9 runs scored per game in that span. This is a team that is ready for the playoffs and trying to fend off the LA Dodgers as they are the only team even close to taking the division away from them.
 
The Padres have been very inconsistent in their recent games. The Giants have been winning games and they have been scoring runs. Arrieta does not help out the Padres here at all as they need to get back into the playoff race and he has been nothing but awful this season. It does not matter who is pitching for what team in this game, the Giants are just a much better team and playing like it. The only bets here should be on the Giants moneyline and on the runline.
 
 
Padres Giants Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, September 14, 2021 (9:45 pm ET start time) is Giants 10 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 8-20 (-10.1 units) on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. 53-44 (-12.8 units) on the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5.
San Francisco Giants: 93-50 (+38.8 units) on the money line in all games. 51-22 (+26 units) when the total is 8 to 8.5. 41-19 (+24.9 units) on the money line against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  J. Cronenworth (SS) Out indefinitely - Finger injury. M. Strahm (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. T. Wingenter (RP) Mid Sept - Elbow injury. J. Ona (RF) Mid Sept - Elbow injury. N. Ramirez (RP) Mid Sept - Shoulder injury. J. Guerra (RP) out for season - Elbow injury.
San Francisco Giants:  D. Solano (2B) Ques Sat - Illness. A. Dickerson (LF) Out indefinitely - Leg injury. J. Quintana (RP) Out indefinitely - Personal. B. Crawford (SS) Ques Mon - Wrist injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
San Diego Padres: Adam Frazier is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in batting average and hits. Hois team has been very inconsistent recently so he will need to step up here and get some hits in this game to help his team get back into a playoff spot.
 
San Francisco Giants: Brandon Crawford is one player to watch here. He leads his team in hits and RBI and he has been a big part as to why his team is leading the MLB right now. Watch for him to keep rolling as they get into playoff form.
 

Notable Quotes

"It's something that he's dealt with in the past. It usually doesn't come on until the sixth or seventh inning. For whatever reason, today it tightened up on him early. He says he's walking better now. He already feels a little bit better." - Jayce Tingler on Blake Snell leaving Sunday’s game with an injury.
 
 
“Definitely. We're on a run here. Any little thing counts. I always want to play. If I have to fly in for one game, I'll do it again.” - Wilmer Flores on hitting a homer on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
T. Grisham (CF)
A. Frazier (2B)
M. Machado (3B)
F. Tatis Jr. (SS)
E. Hosmer (1B)
T. Pham (LF)
W. Myers (RF)
A. Nola (C)
B. Snell (P)
 
San Francisco Giants
A. Slater (CF)
D. Ruf (LF)
K. Bryant (RF)
B. Posey (C)
E. Longoria (3B)
W. Flores (1B)
T. Estrada (2B)
M. Dubon (SS)
L. Webb (P)
 

Statistics (Stats) Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  A. Frazier (.302)
Hits:  A. Frazier (154)
Home Runs:  F. Tatis Jr. (38)
RBI:  M. Machado (90)
Stolen Bases:  F. Tatis Jr. (25)
Wins:  J. Musgrove (10)
Saves:  M. Melancon (37)
ERA:  D. Pomeranz (1.75)
 
San Francisco Giants
Batting Average:  B. Posey (.300)
Hits:  B. Crawford (123)
Home Runs:  K. Bryant (24)
RBI:  B. Crawford (80)
Stolen Bases:  A. Slater (14)
Wins:  K. Gausman (14)
Saves:  J. McGee (31)
ERA:  D. Leone (1.48)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Jayce Tingler (2nd season)
San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (2nd season)
 

Weather Forecast

61 degrees F partly cloudy, 74% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 13 mph wind speeds E.


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