San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -145, Pirates +125; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -145, Pirates +125; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -145, Pirates +125; Over/Under:  9 runs

San Diego Padres:  37-41 (4th place, NL West)

Pittsburgh Pirates:  35-42 (4th place, NL Central)

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San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10

Pittsburgh Pirates:  1-9 last 10

The Padres are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-41 record overall and have a road record of 17-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Yu Darvish is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Blake Snell is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-6 with a 3.22 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 11 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Pirates are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Miami Marlins 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-42 record overall and have a home record of 18-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Rich Hill is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Mitch Keller is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-3 with a 3.45 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 7 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't been having a good season with a losing record overall as they are in 4th place of their division and they also have a really bad offense too. Their pitching has been really good though and they do have a chance to turn things around here with the Pirates starting to struggle a lot in their games lately. The Pirates were having a great season up until a few weeks ago when they entered a big slump and have been losing a ton of games now, even slipping under .500 for the season. Their offense has also been terrible in those games and they aren't going to have it any easier here with Snell on the mound for the Padres. Snell has been pitching really well this season and is really starting to find his groove now as he hasn't been giving up many runs in any of his starts lately. He will not have a problem trying to shut down this really cold Pirates offense as they have been struggling for so long now. The Pirates also have Keller starting in this game and he has been their best starter this season but even has begun to slip up lately. He pitched really well in his last start but the team still lost with no offense to be found and he hasn't really been that good in his last few starts either. Even if he were to pitch another great performance in this game, the lacking Pirates offense will continue to drag him down here and they won't be able to keep up with the Padres since Snell has been pitching so well lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.

Padres Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 28, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Padres 3 Pirates 1.

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San Diego Padres: 37-41 (-17 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-27 (-12 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 17-4 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 10-3 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 12-11 (+4.5 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 34-44 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline against NL West opponents. MITCH KELLER is 8-4 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125 and 9-5 UNDER against NL West opponents. 

San Diego Padres:  M. Wacha (SP) Ques Fri - Shoulder. R. Suarez (SP) Mid July - Arm. T. Cosgrove (RP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. E. Rosario (3B) Mid July - Ankle.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  V. Velasquez (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Reynolds (CF) Out indefinitely - Back. W. Crowe (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Hernandez (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. R. Zastryzny (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Holderman (RP) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Choi (1B) Early July - Achilles. J. Brubaker (SP) out for season - Elbow. O. Cruz (SS) Mid Aug - Ankle. J. Garcia (RP) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Kranick (SP) Late Aug - Elbow.

“It was surreal, and it was amazing. All in all, it was pretty nerve-racking. But when you get out there, it's the same game.” - Matt Waldron on making his MLB debut in their loss against the Nationals on Saturday.

“We’re getting elite starting pitching right now, we just have to figure out a way to score runs. We have to figure it out because we’re not doing anything offensively, especially early in games.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Sunday.

Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B

Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF

Juan Soto (L) LF

Manny Machado (R) 3B

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B

Nelson Cruz (R) DH

Austin Nola (R) C

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ji Hwan Bae (L) 2B

Andrew McCutchen (R) DH

Josh Palacios (L) LF

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Henry Davis (R) RF

Jack Suwinski (L) CF

Tucupita Marcano (L) SS

Rodolfo Castro (S) 3B

Austin Hedges (R) C

Batting Average:  Fernando Tatis (.286)

Hits:  Juan Soto (73)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (15)

RBI:  Juan Soto (41)

Stolen Bases:  Fernando Tatis (14)

Wins:  Michael Wacha (7)

Saves:  Josh Hader (18)

ERA:  Adrian Morejon (0.00)

Batting Average:  Drew Maggi (.333)

Hits:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (73)

Home Runs:  Jack Suwinski (15)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (40)

Stolen Bases:  Ji Hwan Bae (20)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (8)

Saves:  David Bednar (15)

ERA:  David Bednar (1.50)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (4th season)