San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2024

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Wednesday, June 19, 2024

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +136, Phillies -162; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +135, Phillies -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +135, Phillies -160; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

San Diego Padres:  37-39 (3rd place, NL West)

Philadelphia Phillies:  48-24 (1st place, NL East)

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San Diego Padres:  5-5 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

The Padres are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the New York Mets 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 37-39 record overall and have a road record of 19-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Padres lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .724 OPS. Michael King is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Matt Waldron is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-6 with a 3.66 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the New York Mets.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-24 record overall and have a home record of 28-10. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Phillies won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 10-1 with a 1.77 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6.2 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 48-24 record overall which leads the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They are coming off a series loss to the Orioles over the weekend, but they have looked so good in their own ballpark this year with their 28-10 home record. Meanwhile, the Padres have looked a lot better in their road games this season than they have in their home games, going 19-18 in their road games, but they still haven't looked great in their games this season with their 37-39 record overall. They just got swept by the Mets in their last series too so they haven't looked good in their games lately. They have Waldren on the mound in this game but he hasn't looked great this year. He is 4-6 with a 3.66 ERA this season, but the team has not been playing well with him on the mound. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and even though he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start, he will get himself into trouble here against one of the best offenses in the MLB right now. The Phillies are going to have Suarez on the mound in this game and even though he isn't really their ace, he has been pitching like one this year. He is 10-1 with a 1.77 ERA this year and not only does he barely give up any runs in his starts, the team just keeps winning games with him on the mound. He is coming off another great start in which he only gave up 1 earned run in, and the team has won 3 games in a row with him starting. Suarez is going to shut down the Padres here since he has been doing that to teams all season and the Phillies offense also started to get hot again in the series opener. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Padres Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 19, 2024 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 8 Padres 1.

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San Diego Padres: 37-39 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-41 (-6 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 43-45 (-13.1 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. MATT WALDRON is 10-3 UNDER in all games, 6-1 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher, and 5-1 UNDER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Philadelphia Phillies: 48-24 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-10 (+14 units) on the moneyline in home games. 42-17 (+15.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 17-6 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175. RANGER SUAREZ is 21-10 UNDER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing and 4-1 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

San Diego Padres:  Y. Darvish (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Musgrove (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. L. Patino (SP) out for season - Elbow. X. Bogaerts (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. G. Otto (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Realmuto (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Rucker (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. K. Clemens (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Covey (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Turner (SS) Late June - Leg. Y. Marte (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Ortiz (RP) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

“No concern about this club at all. This too shall pass.” - Mike Shildt after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Monday.

“We knew that London was going to be a little bit of a grind. We probably felt it a little bit the next two series, and we played two good teams. To get back home, reset and hopefully get on a good schedule again and play the way we played earlier in the year is going to be big.” - Trea Turner after their win against the Padres in their game on Monday.

Luis Arraez (L) 1B

Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF

Jurickson Profar (S) LF

Manny Machado (R) 3B

Donovan Solano (R) DH

Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B

Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS

Jackson Merrill (L) CF

Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

David Dahl (L) LF

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.341)

Hits:  Jurickson Profar (81)

Home Runs:  Fernando Tatis (13)

RBI:  Jurickson Profar (46)

Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (14)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (6)

Saves:  Robert Suarez (17)

ERA:  Logan Gillaspie (0.00)

Batting Average:  Rafael Marchán (.417)

Hits:  Alec Bohm (83)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (16)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (60)

Stolen Bases:  Bryson Stott (18)

Wins:  Ranger Suárez (10)

Saves:  José Alvarado (12)

ERA:  Jeff Hoffman (0.89)

Managers:

San Diego Padres: Mike Shildt (1st season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (3rd season)