San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds, Preview and Picks - 05/19/2022

by James Q

Wednesday, May 18, 2022

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds, Preview and Picks - 05/19/2022

 
Game Time:  1:05 pm ET, Thursday, May 19th, 2022 
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia Pennsylvania
Where to Watch: MLBN
Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Padres +100; Phillies -120
Caesars: Padres +105; Phillies -125
PointsBet: N/A
 
 

Season Record

Padres: 23-13, 2nd place NL West
Phillies: 17-19, 3rd place NL East

An MLB National League Matchup between the West and the East.  The West is much better than the East… for instance in the NL East the New York Mets are the only team with a winning record… All four others have losing records.  In the West the ALL FIVE teams DO NOT have losing records… even the 5th place Colorado Rockies are .500.  Yet individually the matchup is between the West’s San Diego Padres and the East’s Philadelphia Phillies.  Last season the San Diego Padres tried to cling to 3rd place in the NL West as the Giants and the Dodgers ran away with 100+ win seasons.  The Padres looked good for a while, but a late season swoon  turned their final record into a disappointment.  The Phillies seemingly never change… They are 17-18 at the moment and finished last season 82-80… just hanging on to 2nd place as no one cares.  So how are they this season?... Who do we bet on?  Let’s check the numbers.

The San Diego Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games.  They pulled in 6 Overs and 4 Unders during that stretch.  They went 2-1 against the Atlanta Braves, 1-2 against the Chicago Cubs, 3-1 against the Miami Marlins.  Last season the San Diego Padres were 14th in runs per game and 14th in team ERA, a sure recipe for mediocrity by the end.  This season they are scoring more runs per game… but pitching about the same if not a little worse at 16th in Team ERA… the scoring is the result of OBP as the batting average is a woeful 22nd in the league.

The Philadelphia Phillies have won 5 of their last 10 games.  They grabbed 6 Overs, 3 Unders, and 1 Push. They beat the Dodgers 3-1 in a four game series, they beat the Seattle Mariners 3-1 in a 4 games series, and got beat 2-1 in a 3 game series with the New York Mets.  The Phillies are smacking the ball pretty good.  It helps to have Bryce Harper in the lineup… but they have others as well.  The problem that keeps them a game under .500 is they have a weak pitching rotation.  The Phillies Injury List has a few key guys on it… plus Bryce Harper is listed as Questionable for Tuesday’s game with elbow soreness.

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San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

Offensive Analysis

The Padres are 10th in runs per game with 4.57 ppg, 22nd in batting average with .228, and 12th in OBP with .316.

The Phillies are 4th in runs per game with 4.91 per game, 2nd in batting average with .319, and 8th in OBP with .319.
 

Defensive Analysis 

The Padres are 16th in ERA with 3.75, 7th in WHIP with 1.17, and 4th in fielding errors with a low low 13 on the season so far.

The Phillies are 23rd in ERA with 4.08, 21st in WHIP with 1.27, and 19th in fielding errors with 21 on the young season so far.
 

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for Tuesday May 17th is...  Padres 7 - Phillies 1
 
The Padres will be starting a pitcher with higher upside and less chance of catastrophe… and they will be giving that pitcher plenty of run support.  Yu Darvish is a steady hand that will handle the struggling Phillies.  The numbers for the season makes Kyle Gibson look about even with Yu… but the career mark shows Yu is a notch better in the BIGs… and Kyle’s losses have a habit of getting away early.
 
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MLB Betting Trends

Philly is 4-2 (+3.8 units) against San Diego over the last 3 seasons.
4 of 6 games in this matchup have gone under.
Against NL West opponents the Phillies have 9 Overs and 2 Unders this season.

Key Injuries

Padres: SS Fernando Tatis JR (wrist) Out ** LF M. Beaty (shoulder) Out ** 

Phillies: RF Bryce Harper (elbow) Quest ** SS Didi Gregorious (knee) Out ** CF Mickey Moniak (hand) Out

Players to Watch 

Padres: RHP Yu Darvish, 3-1, 4.62 ERA, 32 strikeouts in 39 innings pitched.  1.18 WHIP.

Phillies: RHP Kyle Gibson, 3-1, 4.10 ERA, 30 strikeouts in 37 Innings pitched. 1.39 WHIP.

 

Starting Lineups 

Padres: SS Jake Cronenworth, 3B Ha-Seong Kim, 1B Eric Hosmer, DH Luke Voit, LF Jurickson Profar, RF Will Myers, 2B Robinson Cano, C Austin Nola, CF Trent Grisham

Phillies: 1B Rhys Hoskins, DH Alec Bohm, LF Kyle Schwarber, CF Roman Quinn, RF Nick Castellanos, 2B Jean Segura, LF Odubel Herrara, 3B Johan Carmargo, SS Bryson Stott
 

Managers

Padres: Bob Melvin
Phillies: Joe Girardi

Weather Forecast

Scattered Showers throughout the day.  Warm temperatures with a high of 82* when it is not raining along with all the humidity you can handle, 67%.  Winds at 10mph.   
 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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