Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, May 26, 2023
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: Apple TV+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Padres -135, Yankees +115; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Padres -135, Yankees +115; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Padres -135, Yankees +115; Over/Under: 9 runs
San Diego Padres: 22-27 (4th place, NL West)
New York Yankees: 30-21 (3rd place, AL East)
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San Diego Padres: 3-7 last 10
New York Yankees: 7-3 last 10
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Padres are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 22-27 record overall and have a road record of 10-12. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Washington Nationals still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Blake Snell is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Joe Musgrove is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Boston Red Sox.
The Yankees are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but did complete the sweep in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-21 record overall and have a home record of 17-11. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the San Diego Padres on Friday with the 3rd game of their series against the Baltimore Orioles still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Clarke Schmidt is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Luis Severino is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA this season. His team won their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.2 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.
Padres vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have been really hot in their games lately as they are surging up the standings and trying to challenge the Rays for the lead of the AL East. Their pitching has been really good on this great run of theirs but their bats have also shown up when needed. The Padres haven't been good at all lately though and they have been struggling to get out of the gate since the season started as they have a record below .500. Their pitching hasn't been great in their games but even more so, their offense has been terrible this season when their lineup is filled with big hitters. Musgrove is getting the nod in this game but as good as he was last season, he hasn't carried that over in his few starts this year as he has been bad, giving up a ton of runs in his starts and his team not finding a lot of success with him on the mound either. The Yankees are going with Severino here and even though he hasn't pitched much this season, he was great in his 1 start and he will be looking to have a great season after missing so much time to injuries. Severino will keep this cold Padres offense down while the Yankees get some runs on Musgrove and the Padres bullpen which hasn't been great. The Yankees also have a great bullpen so the Padres offense will continue to struggle in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
Padres Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 26, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
San Diego Padres: 22-27 (-14 units) on the moneyline in all games. 14-17 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 32-15 UNDER in all games. 15-5 UNDER in road games.
New York Yankees: 30-21 (+7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-17 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 6-3 UNDER in an inter-league game.
San Diego Padres: A. Morejon (SP) Early June - Elbow. M. Machado (3B) Early June - Hand. S. Lugo (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. L. Campusano (C) Early July - Thumb. R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Arm. N. Crismatt (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. E. Rosario (2B) Mid July - Ankle.
New York Yankees: D. German (SP) Elig Mon - Suspension. C. Rodon (SP) Late June - Elbow. T. Kahnle (RP) Early June - Bicep. J. Donaldson (3B) Early June - Hamstring. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid June - Groin. J. Trevino (C) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. F. Montas (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. G. Stanton (RF) Mid June - Hamstring. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.
“He gave us six innings. I thought he pitched fairly well. When you get four hits, it's tough to win a game.” - Bob Melvin on Ryan Weathers after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Wednesday.
“They’re a good ballclub. They’re trending upwards. It’ll be a good fight this season.” - Nestor Cortes after their loss against the Orioles in their game on Wednesday.
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Juan Soto (L) LF
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
Brett Sullivan (L) C
New York Yankees
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Jake Bauers (L) DH
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) LF
Kyle Higashioka (R) C
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Fernando Tatis (.258)
Hits: Xander Bogaerts (46)
Home Runs: Juan Soto (9)
RBI: Juan Soto (22)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (6)
Wins: Michael Wacha (5)
Saves: Josh Hader (12)
ERA: Tom Cosgrove (0.00)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Greg Allen (1.000)
Hits: Anthony Rizzo (58)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (14)
RBI: Aaron Judge (33)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (13)
Wins: Gerrit Cole (5)
Saves: Clay Holmes (5)
ERA: Ian Hamilton (1.23)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)