San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/09/2022

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Oct 09, 2022
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Sunday, October 9, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY 
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +120, Mets -140; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +120, Mets -140; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +110, Mets -135; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  89-73 (2nd place, NL West)
New York Mets:  101-61 (2nd place, NL East)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on an 90-62-2 MLB RUN FOR +$16,100 and is 9-2 L11 PICKS! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
 
 
Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10
New York Mets:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
The Padres lost 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the San Francisco Giants in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 89-73 record overall and have a road record of 45-36. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mets on Sunday and it is game 3 of the Wild Card Series which is a best 2 out of 3 series that is currently tied 1-1. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Blake Snell was their starting pitcher on Saturday while Joe Musgrove is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 10-7 with a 2.93 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the San Francisco Giants.
 
The Mets won 4 of their last 5 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 101-61 record overall and have a home record of 54-27. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Sunday and it is game 3 of the Wild Card Series which is a best 2/3 series that is currently tied 1-1. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Jacob deGrom was their starting pitcher on Saturday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 15-9 with a 3.42 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 2 strikeouts on 3 hits through 2.2 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.

 

Padres vs Mets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game. The Mets showed up on Saturday with their bats as they scored a lot of runs to win that game and they are the only team in the Wild Card Round which was able to force a game 3. The Padres scored a lot of runs in game 1 but they were unable to replicate that in game 2 and they are at a disadvantage having to play all 3 of these games on the road. The Mets also got healthier with their lineup as Starling Marte returned for game 2 and they got things going in a hurry. Bassitt is starting and he has not been great recently but he has pitched well for most of the season and he will bring his best game here. Musgrove has also been pitching well all season but the Mets are hot with their bats right now and they were very hot coming into the playoffs too. Musgrove also saw the Mets lineup earlier this year and he got beaten up in that road start as he gave up quite a few runs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
 
Padres Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, October 9, 2022 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Padres 3.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this San Diego Padres New York Mets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
 

MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 89-73 (-8.4 Units) ML in all games. 58-50 (-12.9 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 15-7 OVER on the road when the total is 7 or less.
New York Mets: 101-61 (+9.4 Units) ML in all games. 54-27 (+6.4 Units) ML in home games. 26-15 OVER when the total is 7 or less.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  M. Clevinger (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Pomeranz (RP) out for season - Forearm. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) out for season - Wrist.
New York Mets:  J. Lucchesi (SP) Mid Oct - Elbow. S. Reid-Foley (RP) out for season - Elbow. D. Ruf (1B) Mid Oct - Neck.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It was a close game in the middle innings and then it got away from us there in the seventh." - Bob Melvin after his team’s loss against the Mets on Saturday.
 
 
"Win or go home. Love pitching here. Mets fans have been great to me. Didn't want to disappoint." - Jacob deGrom after their win against the Padres on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Juan Soto (L) RF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Josh Bell (S) DH
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Brandon Drury (R) 1B
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Austin Nola (R) C
 
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Mark Canha (R) LF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Darin Ruf (R) DH
Tomas Nido (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.298)
Hits:  Manny Machado (172)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (32)
RBI:  Manny Machado (102)
Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (12)
Wins:  Yu Darvish (16)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (28)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (174)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (40)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (131)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (18)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (15)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (32)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.