by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Oct 08, 2022
Game Time: 7:37 pm ET, Saturday, October 8, 2022
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Padres +155, Mets -180; Over/Under: 6 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Padres +160, Mets -180; Over/Under: 6 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Padres +150, Mets -180; Over/Under: 6 runs
Season Record
San Diego Padres: 89-73 (2nd place, NL West)
New York Mets: 101-61 (2nd place, NL East)
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Recent Form
San Diego Padres: 5-5 last 10
New York Mets: 5-5 last 10
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Padres won 3 of their last 4 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the San Francisco Giants in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 89-73 record overall and have a road record of 45-36. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday and it is game 2 of the Wild Card Series which is a best 2 out of 3 series that the Padres currently lead 1-0. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Yu Darvish was their starting pitcher on Friday while Blake Snell is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-10 with a 3.38 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
The Mets were on a 3 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 101-61 record overall and have a home record of 54-27. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Saturday and it is game 2 of the Wild Card Series which is a best 2/3 series that the Padres currently lead 1-0. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Max Scherzer was their starting pitcher on Friday while Jacob deGrom is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 3.08 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 3 homers, and 0 BB with 11 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.
Padres vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres took game 1 of this series and now have the Mets on the brink of elimination here. The Mets are still at home though where they have been great all year and they are bound to bring their best effort here when their backs are against the wall. They have deGrom starting in this game and he has been great all season but not only that, he is one of the best starting pitchers in the league. He will not give up as many runs in this game as Scherzer gave up and the Mets should be able to score more runs too. The Padres have Snell starting here and he has not been great this season but even worse for the Padres, he has been awful in his road starts. The Mets bats will wake up here and they will put up runs on Snell in this game while deGrom pitches a great game as usual and helps the Mets live to see another day. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Padres Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, October 8, 2022 (7:37 pm ET start time) is Mets 3 Padres 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
San Diego Padres: 89-73 (-8.4 Units) ML in all games. 58-50 (-12.9 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 15-7 OVER on the road when the total is 7 or less.
New York Mets: 101-61 (+9.4 Units) ML in all games. 54-27 (+6.4 Units) ML in home games. 26-15 OVER when the total is 7 or less.
Key Injuries
San Diego Padres: M. Clevinger (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Pomeranz (RP) out for season - Forearm. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) out for season - Wrist.
New York Mets: J. deGrom (SP) day-to-day - Finger. S. Marte (CF) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Ruf (1B) Mid Oct - Neck.
Notable Quotes
"This is not a game that you normally see out of Max, so we were fortunate." - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Mets on Friday.
"Baseball can take you to the highest of highs and the lowest of lows, and this is one of the lowest of lows." - Max Scherzer after their loss against the Padres on Friday.
Starting Lineups
San Diego Padres
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Juan Soto (L) RF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Josh Bell (S) DH
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Wil Myers (R) 1B
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Austin Nola (R) C
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Starling Marte (R) RF
Mark Canha (R) LF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Tomas Nido (R) C
Statistical Leaders
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Manny Machado (.298)
Hits: Manny Machado (172)
Home Runs: Manny Machado (32)
RBI: Manny Machado (102)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (12)
Wins: Yu Darvish (16)
Saves: Taylor Rogers (28)
ERA: Austin Adams (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits: Jeff McNeil (174)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (40)
RBI: Pete Alonso (131)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (18)
Wins: Carlos Carrasco (15)
Saves: Edwin Diaz (32)
ERA: Alex Claudio (0.00)
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
