San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/07/2022

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Oct 06, 2022
Game Time: 8:07 pm ET, Friday, October 7, 2022
Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY 
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +125, Mets -145; Over/Under:  6 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +130, Mets -150; Over/Under:  6 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +120, Mets -145; Over/Under:  6 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  89-73 (2nd place, NL West)
New York Mets:  101-61 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  5-5 last 10
New York Mets:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

San Diego Padres vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis

 
The Padres were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the San Francisco Giants in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 89-73 record overall and have a road record of 45-36. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday and it is game 1 of the Wild Card Series which is a best 2 out of 3 series. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Craig Stammen was their starting pitcher on Wednesday in their final game of the regular season while Yu Darvish is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 16-8 with a 3.10 ERA this season. His team won 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 8 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
 
The Mets enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 101-61 record overall and have a home record of 54-27. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Friday and it is game 1 of the Wild Card Series which is a best 2/3 series. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Mychal Givens was their starting pitcher on Wednesday in their final game of the regular season while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 11-5 with a 2.29 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 9 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.

 

Padres vs Mets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets are entering this playoff series having to play in the Wild Card but they finished the season with 101 wins and tied the NL East Champions, the Atlanta Braves, with their record but lost out on the division due to their head-to-head record. They had a much better season than the Padres did though and the Mets were also a force at home all year. They have their ace Max Scherzer starting in this game and he has been very good in most of his starts this season. The Padres are going with Yu Darvish in this game and he has also been great all year. The Mets have a much better offense than the Padres have and it has shown in their games lately since the Mets were very hot coming into this series. They were putting up a ton of runs in their final series while the Padres lost their last game of the season and they haven't been putting up as many runs in their games lately either. The Mets have the edge here at home and they will be motivated to put up runs now that the playoffs have started. Scherzer has a lot more playoff experience under his belt and will turn it on in this game to pitch a deep performance. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
 
Padres Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, October 7, 2022 (8:07 pm ET start time) is Mets 5 Padres 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 89-73 (-8.4 Units) ML in all games. 58-50 (-12.9 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 15-7 OVER on the road when the total is 7 or less.
New York Mets: 101-61 (+9.4 Units) ML in all games. 54-27 (+6.4 Units) ML in home games. 26-15 OVER when the total is 7 or less.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  M. Clevinger (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Pomeranz (RP) out for season - Forearm. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) out for season - Wrist.
New York Mets:  B. Baty (3B) Mid Oct - Thumb. S. Marte (CF) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Ruf (1B) Mid Oct - Neck.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I told him, ‘Play as deep as you can.' Wil's pretty quick when he gets on and off the field, he moves around pretty quick. Take your time.” - Bob Melvin on Wil Myers after their loss against the Giants on Wednesday.
 
 
"Friday's going to be kind of a different beast. It's going to be loud, it's going to be rocking. We've got to be ready to play. It's going to be a lot of fun, and looking forward to it." - Jeff McNeil after their win against the Nationals on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Juan Soto (L) RF
Manny Machado (R) DH
Jake Cronenworth (L) SS
Brandon Drury (R) 2B
Wil Myers (R) 1B
Brandon Dixon (R) 3B
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Luis Campusano (R) C
 
New York Mets
Tyler Naquin (L) RF
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Mark Canha (R) LF
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
Mark Vientos (R) 3B
James McCann (R) 1B
Terrance Gore (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.298)
Hits:  Manny Machado (172)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (32)
RBI:  Manny Machado (102)
Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (12)
Wins:  Yu Darvish (16)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (28)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
New York Mets
Batting Average:  Khalil Lee (.500)
Hits:  Jeff McNeil (174)
Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (40)
RBI:  Pete Alonso (131)
Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (18)
Wins:  Carlos Carrasco (15)
Saves:  Edwin Diaz (32)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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