San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds, Preview and Picks - 06/04/2022

by James Q

Friday, Jun 03, 2022

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds, Preview and Picks - 06/04/2022



Game Time:  4:10 PM ET, Saturday, June 4th,  2022 
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Where to Watch: MLBN 

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline: Padres +100, Brewers -120; O/U 7.5
 Caesars: Moneyline:  
PointsBet: Moneyline: 

Season Record

Padres: 30-21, 2nd place NL West
Brewers: 33-20, 1st place NL Central

The Milwaukee Brewers are looking to feast on the San Diego Padres.  The Brewers won the first game 5-4 with Game 2 tonight.  The Game we are focusing on now is Game 3.  It is the penultimate matchup of most series because the starting pitchers get a bit thin… the hitters have seen enough of the other team and are ready to put one over the wall.  Plus the manager has gotten a feel for the other manager by game 3 (applies to each).  This will be a 4-game long series… Game 3 is a great betting opportunity because you get a shot to double up on Game 4 with a lot of numbers behind your decision.

An MLB National League matchup between the 2nd best West team and the best Central team.  Their records are nearly identical… It is just that the Brewers have played 2 more games by now.  Those two games have been losses.  The Brewers have lost twice more… but the divisions are worldly different,  The West is a killer of the worst kind… the Dodgers, the Giants,... they are always looking to pick off your cubs.  The Central is loaded with predators that are missing teeth.  The Padres are strong… The Brewers are strong… but are they equal?... And who should we see as the Great betting opportunity?  

The Padres have won just 5 of their last 10 games.  It spoiled the run they were on to the top. They had 1 Over, 7 Under, and 2 Push.  The Padres rely heavily on Manny Machado who was clearly worth the big contract he signed as he is leading the team in Home Runs, Batting Average, and OPS.  They went 0-2 against the St Louis Cardinals, 2-1 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, 1-2 against the Milwaukee Brewers, and 2-0 against the San Francisco Giants.  The Padres have the batting they need the pitching excellence to get to the right spot in the MLB standings… Some think they have it… some think they are circling the drain.

The Brewers have won 6 of their last 10 games.  They don’t need much to keep pulling away from the pack in the Central division.  In fact if they simply won 6 of every ten over the rest of the season, They would be miles ahead of the losers in the Central division.  They went 2-1 against the Chicago Cubs, 2-2 against the St Louis Cardinals, and 2-1 against the Milwaukee Brewers.  First Baseman Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers in home runs with 10, but the team hits as a group.   Catcher Omar Narvaez has come on as of late to lead the team in batting average… and the usual Milwaukee suspects of Christian Yelich, Luis Urias, and Andrew McCutchen all get in on the action.

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San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis 

Offensive Analysis

The Padres are 11th in runs with 4.38 per game, and 22nd in batting average with .228, and 14th in OBP with .311.
The Brewers are 10th in runs with 4.61 per game, 20th in batting average with .234, and 16th in OBP with .311.

Defensive Analysis

The Padres pitchers are 10th in ERA with 3.53, 7th in WHIP with 1.15.  Padres fielder’s are on point while ranking 1st in errors with only 14 on the season.

Brewers pitchers are 5th in team ERA with 3.36, 10th in WHIP… and the fielder’s are literally dropping the ball at 23rd in errors with 33 on the season so far.

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday June 4th is…  Padres 5 - Brewers 3

The Padres are bound to get Game 3.  The Brewers are good but not so good that the Padres won't split this series given a pitching advantage.


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MLB Betting Trends

The Padres are 17-9 in road games (+8.7 units) this season.
Milwaukee is 14-6 in home games (+3.6 Units) this season.
Milwaukee is 7-3 (+5.2 Units) against San Diego the last 3 seasons.
3 of 3 games in this matchup have gone UNDER this season.

Key Injuries


Padres: LF M. Beatty (shoulder) Out ** SS Fernando Tatis JR (wrist) Out ** 

Brewers: 2B K. Wong, (upper body) Quest ** RF Hunter Renfroe (hamstring) Probable, SS Willy Adames (ankle) Out ** Catcher Pedro Severino (suspended) Out

Players to Watch

Padres: LHP MacKenzie Gore, 3-1, 1.71 ERA, 47 Strikeouts in 42 innings pitched. 1.07 WHIP.

Brewers: LHP Aaron Ashby, 1-3, 2.70 ERA, 51 strikeouts in 40 innings pitched. 1.33 WHIP

Starting Lineups 

Padres: 2B -1B Jake Cronenworth, 3B Manny Machado, DH Jurickson Profar, RF Will Myers, 1B Luke Voit, C Austin Nola, SS Ha-Seong Kim, CF Trent Grisham, LF Jose Azocar

Brewers: DH Andrew McCutchen, SS Luis Urias, LF Christain Yelich, RF Tyrone Taylor, 3B Mike Brosseau, 1B Rowdy Tellez, 2B Keston Hiura, CF Lorenzo Cain, C Victor Caratini

Statistical Leaders

Padres:
HR: Manny Machado 8
BA: Manny Machado .346
OPS: Manny Machado 

Brewers:
HR: Rowdy Tellez 10
BA: Omar Navarez .274
Wins: Brandon Woodruff 5

Managers

Padres: Bob Melvin
Brewers: Craig Counsell

Weather Forecast

Cloudy, 65*, wind at 10 mph, humidity at 52% and precipitation chances are at 20%.  




 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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