Game Time:  7:40 PM ET, Thursday, June 2nd,  2022 

Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Where to Watch: MLB.TV

DraftKings: Moneyline: Padres +105, Brewers -115; O/U 8

 Caesars: Moneyline:  

PointsBet: Moneyline: Padres +102, Brewers -120; O/U 8.5

Padres: 30-19, 2nd place NL West

Brewers: 32-19, 1st place NL Central

An MLB National League battle between the West and the Central.  These two teams are strong this season.  The Padres in second place and the Brewers in 1st place in their respective divisions.  They have a different number of wins: Padres 30, Brewers 32… but the same amount of losses: 19.  They are very similar teams as well:  The Padres are 6th in ERA… The Brewers are 5th.  These are close teams… We already know that the offensive rankings are not really reliable until halfway through the season.  Guys can get hot… guys can go cold.  Guys can get injured, guys can get old.  The batting is set.  Where the difference really lies is the pitching.  The Brewers have a better team ERA by a little bit.  So when comparing teams for the Great Betting Opportunity we have to look at the pitching matchup.  In modern baseball the starting guy gives way to a bullpen where the Dodgers have an advantage. 

The Padres have won just 5 of their last 10 games.  It spoiled the run they were on to the top. They had 1 Over, 7 Under, and 2 Push.  The Padres rely heavily on Manny Machado who was clearly worth the big contract he signed as he is leading the team in Home Runs, Batting Average, and OPS.  They went 0-2 against the St Louis Cardinals, 2-1 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, 1-2 against the Milwaukee Brewers, and 2-0 against the San Francisco Giants.  The Padres have the batting they need the pitching excellence to get to the right spot in the MLB standings… Some think they have it… some think they are circling the drain.

The Brewers have won 6 of their last 10 games.  They don’t need much to keep pulling away from the pack in the Central division.  In fact if they simply won 6 of every ten over the rest of the season, They would be miles ahead of the losers in the Central division.  They went 2-1 against the Chicago Cubs, 2-2 against the St Louis Cardinals, and 2-1 against the Milwaukee Brewers.  First Baseman Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers in home runs with 10, but the team hits as a group.   Catcher Omar Narvaez has come on as of late to lead the team in batting average… and the usual Milwaukee suspects of Christian Yelich, Luis Urias, and Andrew McCutchen all get in on the action.

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The Padres are 11th in runs with 4.38 per game, and 22nd in batting average with .228, and 14th in OBP with .311.

The Brewers are 10th in runs with 4.61 per game, 20th in batting average with .234, and 16th in OBP with .311.

The Padres pitchers are 10th in ERA with 3.53, 7th in WHIP with 1.15.  Padres fielder’s are on point while ranking 1st in errors with only 14 on the season.

Brewers pitchers are 5th in team ERA with 3.36, 10th in WHIP… and the fielder’s are literally dropping the ball at 23rd in errors with 33 on the season so far.

Our prediction for Thursday June 2nd is… 

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The Padres are 17-9 in road games (+8.7 units) this season.

Milwaukee is 14-6 in home games (+3.6 Units) this season.

MIlwaukee is 7-3 (+5.2 Units) against San Diego the last 3 seasons.

3 of 3 games in this matchup have gone UNDER this season.

Padres: LF M. Beatty (shoulder) Out ** SS Fernando Tatis JR (wrist) Out ** 

Brewers: 2B K. Wong, (upper body) Quest ** RF Hunter Renfroe (hamstring) Probable, SS Willy Adames (ankle) Out ** Catcher Pedro Severino (suspended) Out

Padres: LHP Sean Manaea, 2-3, 4.02 ERA, 60 strikeouts in 56 innings pitched, 1.11 WHIP.

Brewers:  With the pitcher TBD… The player to always watch on the Brewers roster is Chriatian Yelich.  Touted as one of the best in baseball for the last few years… Christian has 5 home runs, is batting .234 with 21 RBI’s pm the season for 184 trips to the plate.  His 2022 numbers are on the low side when compared with his numbers over the last 5-7 seasons.  He should be turning it on any day now.  

Padres: 2B -1B Jake Cronenworth, 3B Manny Machado, DH Jurickson Profar, RF Will Myers, 1B Luke Voit, C Austin Nola, SS Ha-Seong Kim, CF Trent Grisham, LF Jose Azocar

Brewers: DH Andrew McCutchen, SS Luis Urias, LF Christain Yelich, RF Tyrone Taylor, 3B Mike Brosseau, 1B Rowdy Tellez, 2B Keston Hiura, CF Lorenzo Cain, C Victor Caratini

Padres: Bob Melvin

Brewers:

MOstly Sunny with a high of 73* for the day… will dip to 65 by gametime.  Humidity at 44%, winds at 8 mph, chance of precipitation just 10%.  Milwaukee has rain clouds on the horizon for the weekend but a Thursday game should be free and clear.