San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/30/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Thursday, September 30, 2021
Venue:  Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA 
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +190, Dodgers -235; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +190, Dodgers -230; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +185, Dodgers -225; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  78-79 (3rd place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers:  101-56 (2nd place, NL West)
 
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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  1-9 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game after losing their series opener on Tuesday 2-1 against the Dodgers. That loss put them on a 4 game losing streak and they have also lost 9 of their last 10 games straight up. This will be the series finale of their three-game series against the Dodgers with their Wednesday game still to be played, that result is pending. Ryan Weathers will be getting the nod for their game on Wednesday while Vince Velasquez will be the starting pitcher on the mound for them in this game on Thursday. He is 3-8 with a 6.22 ERA this season and his team has lost every single game with him starting since he came over from the Philadelphia Phillies. He has been credited with 6 straight losses and his team has lost their last 5 games when he was the starter, going back to his days on the Phillies. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits through 3 IP against the Atlanta Braves last Saturday. This will be his first time facing the Dodgers lineup this season. Their offense has scored 12 runs in their last 4 games averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 20 runs against them in that same span allowing 5 runs per game.
 

Los Angeles Dodgers Analysis

The LA Dodgers are coming into this game after winning the series opener on Tuesday. That win put the Dodgers on a 2 game winning streak and they have now won 4 of their last 5 games. The 2nd game of this series is still to be played on Wednesday with that result pending. This will be the series finale between these two teams on Thursday. Max Scherzer will be the starter for Wednesday's game while Tony Gonsolin will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 4-1 with a 3.00 ERA this season. He has been credited with 3 straight wins and his team has won the last 3 games that he started in. In his last appearance, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 being a HR, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings of work against the Arizona Diamondbacks last Friday. This will be his first time facing the Padres lineup this season. The Dodger’s offense has scored 11 runs in their last 4 games averaging a little under 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 10 runs against them in that same span allowing over 2 runs per game.
 

 

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

The Padres were eliminated from playoff contention and they do not really have much else to play for here. They can try to play spoiler in their series but the only thing they can spoil is the Dodgers catching the San Francisco Giants to win the division as they both have clinched a playoff spot already whether it be through Wild Card or division title. The Dodgers have more to play for here and they are just the better team all around. The best bet to place here is for them to win this game on the moneyline or the runline.
 
Padres Dodgers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, September 30, 2021 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 3 Padres 0.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 78-79 (-35.1 units) on the money line in all games. 33-43 (-23 units) on the money line in road games. 12-28 (-13.4 units) on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 101-53 (+10.4 units) on the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher. 101-56 (+7.4 units) on the money line in all games. 53-23 (+8.9 units) on the money line in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  A. Nola (C) out for season - Thumb injury. T. Wingenter (RP) Early Oct - Elbow injury. J. Ona (RF) Early Oct - Elbow injury.
Los Angeles Dodgers:  C. Bellinger (RF) Out indefinitely - Ribs injury. D. Duffy (SP) Early Oct - Hip injury. S. Alexander (RP) out for season - Shoulder injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
San Diego Padres: Adam Frazier is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in batting average and in hits. His team is out of the playoffs but they can still try to spoil the Dodgers from winning their division so look for him to put up a fight in this game.
 
Los Angeles Dodgers: Trea Turner is one player to watch here. He leads his team in batting average, hits, and in stolen bases. His team is still trying to win their division and start getting into playoff form so look for him to keep producing and help his team win this game.
 

Notable Quotes

"I have one more to go to get to 200 strikeouts, so for me, yeah, I'd like to go in and pitch another game." - Yu Darvish on his motivation to keep playing in games this season despite being out of the playoffs.
 
 
"We got to take care of our own business. Close game, but all that matters is we won. It's good to start the week with a win." - Trea Turner after their win in against the Padres on Tuesday.
 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
A. Frazier LF
F. Tatis Jr. SS
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Manny Machado 3B
Eric Hosmer 1B
Wil Myers RF
Trent Grisham CF
V. Caratini C
Y. Darvish P
 
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts RF
C. Seager SS
T. Turner 2B
Max Muncy 1B
Will Smith C
Justin Turner 3B
A. Pollock LF
G. Lux CF
Walker Buehler P
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  A. Frazier (.307)
Hits:  A. Frazier (172)
Home Runs:  F. Tatis Jr. (41)
RBI:  M. Machado (101)
Stolen Bases:  F. Tatis Jr. (25)
Wins:  J. Musgrove (11)
Saves:  M. Melancon (38)
ERA:  D. Pomeranz (1.75)
 
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  T. Turner (.325)
Hits:  T. Turner (187)
Home Runs:  M. Muncy (35)
RBI:  M. Muncy (90)
Stolen Bases:  T. Turner (32)
Wins:  J. Urias (19)
Saves:  K. Jansen (36)
ERA:  J. Nelson (1.86)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Jayce Tingler (2nd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (6th season)
 

Weather Forecast

76 degrees F sunny, 33% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 4 mph wind speeds NE.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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