San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/12/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, September 12, 2021
Venue:  Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet LA


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +150, Dodgers -170; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +135, Dodgers -160; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  74-66 (3rd place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers:  89-53 (2nd place, NL West)
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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers:  6-4 last 10

Offensive Analysis

The San Diego Padres are ranked 14 in the league for batting average (.241), 13 in the league for RBI (609), 19 in the league for hits (1118), and they are ranked 9 in the league for OBP (.324). The Los Angeles Dodgers are ranked 16 in the league for batting average (.240), 4 in the league for RBI (684), 12 in the league for hits (1148), and they are ranked 7 in the league for OBP (.327).

Defensive Analysis

The San Diego Padres are ranked 8 in the league for ERA (3.78), 6 in the league for saves (41), 7 in the league for strikeouts (1333), and they are ranked 8 in the league for WHIP (1.22). The Los Angeles Dodgers are ranked 1 in the league for ERA (2.96), 2 in the league for saves (45), 1 in the league for strikeouts (1410), and they are ranked 1 in the league for WHIP (1.10).


Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

The San Diego Padres are taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers in this series finale on Sunday of their three-game series. The 2nd game of this series is still to be played on Saturday with the result pending. The Padres lost the series opener here after tying a two-game series with the Los Angeles Angels but winning their series against the Houston Astros right before that. The Dodgers have won 1 game now after tying their last four-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals. 

The Padres are coming into this game after a loss to the Dodgers 3-0 on Friday night. Blake Snell will be the starting pitcher on the mound for this game on Sunday and he is 7-6 with a 4.22 ERA this season. They have not had too much success with him starting recently as his team has lost 4 of his last 5 starts. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER and 2 BB with 11 Ks on 1 hit through 7 IP. He has seen the Dodgers lineup 4 times this season and the team is 2-2 in those games, he should also remember a few of the players from the World Series last year when he was on the Tampa Bay Rays. There was a no-decision in 3 of those games so his record against the Dodgers this season is 1-0 and he has not allowed more than 2 runs scored against him in any of those 4 games. The Padres have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games but all of those came in a single game as they went scoreless in 2 of their last 3, including the first game of this series. They have played the Dodgers well all season with a 7-7 record against them this year but you never know which Padres team is going to show up in these games.

The Dodgers are coming into this game with 3 wins in their last 5 games. They will have Max Scherzer throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Sunday and he is 13-4 with a 2.28 ERA this season. He has had nothing but success since coming over from the Washington Nationals as he has been awarded with 5 wins as a Dodger and the team has won all 7 games that he has started in for them. In his last start, he allowed 1 run, 0 ER, and 0 BB with 13 Ks on 6 hits through 8 innings of work. He has not allowed a single earned run in his last 3 starts. He has seen the Padres lineup 3 times this season, once as a Dodger and twice on the Nats, he is 1-0 against them but his teams are 2-1 against them when he has started. On the Nats he allowed 11 runs in the 2 games that he faced them in but in the game he played against them on the Dodgers he was credited with a win not allowing a single run. The Dodgers have scored 30 runs in their last 6 games averaging 5 runs scored per game. Even if Scherzer has a bad game the Dodgers should be able to back him up with runs.

The Padres have Snell on the mound who has struggled a bit this season so far. The Dodgers have a big advantage in this game with their pitching and their batters. The Padres offense has been on and off in recent games while the Dodgers have been more consistent. Both teams can hit the ball but the Dodgers will be able to slug this one out if need be.

Padres Dodgers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, Sunday, September 12, 2021 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 4 Padres 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

San Diego Padres: 74-66 (-26.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 50-49 (-22.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 68-31 (+7.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 43-17 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -150 or more.

Key Injuries

San Diego Padres: J. Cronenworth (SS) Out indefinitely - Finger injury. M. Strahm (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. T. Wingenter (RP) Mid Sept - Elbow injury. J. Ona (RF) Mid Sept - Elbow injury. N. Ramirez (RP) Mid Sept - Shoulder injury. J. Guerra (RP) out for season - Elbow injury.
Los Angeles Dodgers: B. McKinney (LF) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Sept - Forearm injury. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Oblique injury. A. Pollock (CF) Late Sept - Hamstring injury. T. Bauer (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal reasons. S. Alexander (RP) Mid Nov - Shoulder injury.

Players to Watch

San Diego Padres: Fernando Tatis Jr. is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in home runs and in stolen bases. He can be a threat at the plate and as a base runner so look for him to put a good effort in as they try to keep a hold of their playoff spot.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Trea Turner is one player to watch here. He leads his team in batting average, hits, and stolen bases. The Dodgers will definitely be in the postseason again so watch for him to start heating up in these final games as he tries to get into playoff form.

Notable Quotes

"Just didn't have a great arsenal to work with. The walks obviously hurt me a lot. Just a lot of wasted pitches, a lot of extended innings. I made the night a lot harder on myself than I needed to." - Joe Musgrove on his performance in the last game he played in.
"It was really important for us to get ahead of this series. On a personal note, very great to get those victories." - Julio Urias on beating the Padres Friday night.

Starting Lineups

San Diego Padres
T. Grisham (CF)
M. Machado (3B)
J. Cronenworth (SS)
F. Tatis Jr. (RF)
W. Myers (LF)
J. Profar (1B)
A. Nola (C)
A. Frazier (2B)
J. Musgrove (P)
Los Angeles Dodgers
M. Betts (RF)
M. Muncy (1B)
T. Turner (2B)
C. Seager (SS)
J. Turner (3B)
W. Smith (C)
G. Lux (LF)
C. Taylor (CF)
J. Urias (P)

Statistical Leaders

San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  A. Frazier (.306)
Hits:  A. Frazier (154)
Home Runs:  F. Tatis Jr. (37)
RBI:  M. Machado (89)
Stolen Bases:  F. Tatis Jr. (25)
Wins:  J. Musgrove (10)
Saves:  M. Melancon (37)
ERA:  D. Pomeranz (1.75)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  T. Turner (.318)
Hits:  T. Turner (164)
Home Runs:  M. Muncy (32)
RBI:  M. Muncy (81)
Stolen Bases:  T. Turner (26)
Wins:  J. Urias (17)
Saves:  K. Jansen (31)
ERA:  J. Bruihl (1.38)
San Diego Padres: Jayce Tingler (2nd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (6th season)

Weather Forecast

87 degrees F sunny, 46% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 5 mph wind speeds NE.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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