San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/11/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Saturday, September 11, 2021
Venue:  Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet LA

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +180, Dodgers -220; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +175, Dodgers -210; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres +180, Dodgers -225; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  74-65 (3rd place, NL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers:  88-53 (2nd place, NL West)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is on a $78K (10*) MLB RUN. Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Offensive Analysis

 
The San Diego Padres are ranked 14 in the league for batting average (.242), 13 in the league for RBI (609), 19 in the league for hits (1112), and they are ranked 9 in the league for OBP (.324). The Los Angeles Dodgers are ranked 16 in the league for batting average (.240), 4 in the league for RBI (681), 12 in the league for hits (1144), and they are ranked 7 in the league for OBP (.327).
 

Defensive Analysis

 
The San Diego Padres are ranked 8 in the league for ERA (3.78), 5 in the league for saves (41), 7 in the league for strikeouts (1325), and they are ranked 9 in the league for WHIP (1.22). The Los Angeles Dodgers are ranked 1 in the league for ERA (2.98), 2 in the league for saves (44), 2 in the league for strikeouts (1401), and they are ranked 1 in the league for WHIP (1.10).
 

 

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

The San Diego Padres are taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers in this matchup on Saturday night. The first game of this three-game series has not been played yet on Friday night with the result pending. The Padres have won 3 of their last 4 games, tying the Los Angeles Angels in their two-game series right before this one. The Dodgers are currently on a 2 game losing streak after tying their four-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals.

The Padres are coming into this game winning 3 of their last 4 games, 1 against the Angels and 2 against the Houston Astros. They won their last game against the Angels 8-5, Yu Darvish pitched great. Right-hander Chris Paddack will be the starter on the mound for the Padres on Saturday and he is 7-6 with a 4.95 ERA this season. Paddack has been credited with 3 straight wins and his team has won their last 5 games when he has started for them. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 of the being HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP. This will be his first time seeing the Dodgers lineup this season. The Padres’ offense scored 8 runs in their last game and have put up 22 runs in their last 4 games averaging over 5 runs scored per game. The Dodgers have not looked their best recently and are in a comfy spot for the playoffs so now is the time for the Padres to strike in this game.

The Dodgers are coming into this game after a 2-1 loss to the Cardinals in their last game on Thursday. Walker Buehler will be the starting pitcher throwing the first pitch for the Dodgers in this game on Saturday and he is 13-3 with a 2.31 ERA. He lost in his last outing but his team had won 5 straight games before that with him starting on the mound. He had a rough time in his last start, allowing 6 ER, 1 being a HR, and 1 BB with 1 K on 7 hits in just 3 innings of work. He had not allowed more than 2 runs in a game in each of his 10 previous starts to that one. He has faced the Padres lineup twice this season and his team is 2-0 when he has played against them only allowing a total of 2 ER between the 2 games. The Dodgers have scored 27 runs in their last 6 games averaging over 4 runs scored per game in that span. They have cooled off in their last 2 games with just 3 runs total but they have also had so much success with Buehler on the mound this season.

The Padres are fighting to keep their wildcard spot over the Cincinnati Reds while the Dodgers are chasing the San Francisco Giants for the division title but have a hefty lead over the Padres for the 1st wildcard spot. Both of these teams can pitch and both can hit very well but the Dodgers have the advantage in both of those areas. Walker Buehler has been too good all year to fade so it is worth it to put a bet on the Dodgers to win this one.

 
Padres Dodgers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 11, 2021 (9:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Padres 5.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this San Diego Padres Los Angeles Dodgers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
 

MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 74-65 (-25.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 50-49 (-22.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 67-31 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 42-17 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -150 or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  M. Strahm (RP)Out indefinitely - Knee injury. T. Wingenter (RP) Mid Sept - Elbow injury. J. Ona (RF) Mid Sept - Elbow injury. N. Ramirez (RP) Mid Sept - Shoulder injury. J. Guerra (RP) out for season - Elbow injury.
Los Angeles Dodgers:  C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Sept - Forearm injury. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Oblique injury. A. Pollock (CF) Late Sept - Hamstring injury. T. Bauer (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal reasons. S. Alexander (RP) Mid Nov - Shoulder injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
San Diego Padres: Jake Cronenworth is one player to watch in this game for the Padres. He has been quiet recently but he can be very good once he gets going. With the playoff race nearing an end watch for him to start heating up soon in these final games.
 
Los Angeles Dodgers: Max Muncy is one player to watch here. He leads his team in homeBI so watch for him to bring in the base runners once they get on. Mookie Betts is another player to watch here as he can be electric when he is on. Look for him to get on base and cash in some runs as he is a great base runner.
 

Notable Quotes

"That's definitely a big confidence boost for sure the way the starters have been throwing the ball, the length they're going in games and you feel like they're giving you a chance to win damn near every night" Jayce Tingler on the performance of his starting rotation in recent games.
 
 
"Two-and-a-half games is not very much. A lot of things can happen in the last 20 games and I don't try to watch the scoreboard or pay attention to that stuff. You try to control what's in front of you and today was this game and didn't get the job done so we move on to tomorrow." - Trea Turner on the Dodgers trailing behind the San Francisco Giants for the division.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
T. Grisham (CF)
J. Cronenworth (SS)
M. Machado (3B)
F. Tatis Jr. (RF)
E. Hosmer (1B)
W. Myers (LF)
A. Frazier (2B)
V. Caratini (C)
Y. Darvish (P)
 
 
Los Angeles Dodgers
M. Betts (2B)
M. Muncy (1B)
T. Turner (SS)
J. Turner (3B)
C. Bellinger (CF)
S. Souza Jr. (LF)
B. McKinney (RF)
A. Barnes (C)
T. Gonsolin (P)
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  A. Frazier (.303)
Hits:  A. Frazier (152)
Home Runs:  F. Tatis Jr. (37)
RBI:  M. Machado (89)
Stolen Bases:  F. Tatis Jr. (24)
Wins:  J. Musgrove (10)
Saves:  M. Melancon (37)
ERA:  D. Pomeranz (1.75)
 
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  T. Turner (.321)
Hits:  T. Turner (164)
Home Runs:  M. Muncy (31)
RBI:  M. Muncy (79)
Stolen Bases:  T. Turner (26)
Wins:  J. Urias (16)
Saves:  K. Jansen (30)
ERA:  J. Bruihl (1.38)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Jayce Tingler (2nd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (6th season)
 

Weather Forecast

79 degrees F sunny, 48% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 2 mph wind speeds NW.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2021 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.