San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds, Preview and Picks - 01/06/2022

by James Q

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds, Preview and Picks - 01/06/2022

Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Saturday, August 6th, 2022 
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
Where to Watch:, MLBN

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Padres +120, Dodgers - 141; O/U 9

Season Record

Padres: 61-47, 2nd place NL West
Dodgers: 72-33, 1st place NL West

A National League West Matchup between the #1 NL Westhome team and the #2 NL West visiting team.  The San Diego Padres descend on Dodger Stadium to find a Dodger team that just smoked the San Francisco Giants for the second series SWEEP in the last 30 days.  The Padres have an ace in the hole however… they just added the best hitter in the league in Juan Soto… and he still looks good at the plate despite the new uniform.  Many onlookers thought the Dodgers had the inside track on landing Juan (even though he replicates much of what Mookie Betts and Trea Turner already do for the Dodgers)... but when rumblings came out about two-way all-star Shohei Ohtani being available from the Angels… The Dodgers fiercely pulled back on Soto offers and the Padres landed him.  Soto fits the Padres well too.  He adds batting muscle next to Mannhy Machado… and both big boys will be anxiously awaiting the return of Fernando Tatis Jr to the line-up… when that happens the Padres will be a very hard line-up for any pitching staff to face.  (unless he comes back super rusty after missing the entire first ¾ of the season so far).  The Padres hate the Dodgers, the Dodgers hate the Padres…. This will be a fun series…. It is also a moment of desperation for the Padres… because it is in division any loss drops the Padres too much and any lift will lift them more than any normal win.  The Padres are still 12.5 games back of the Dodgers… but man oh man a few wins could change all of that!

The San Diego Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games.  Going 4-1 against the Colorado Rockies, 2-1 against the Minnesota Twins, and 1-1 against the Detroit Tigers during that stretch.  Juan Soto was not there for those wins… but he is certainly there now… He joins Manny Machado (19 homers) and Josh Bell (.400 BA).... and he brings his 1.25 OPS with him.  The middling offense will jump up a few spots easily… They just need the top-ten pitching staff to hold onto an 8th place ERA and 9th place WHIP to make real waves.  San Diego is 30-24 on the road.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are not scared of Juan Soto joining the Padres (they should be, but they are not)... any team facing the Dodgers must face the 2nd highest scoring line-up AND the #1 team ERA pitching staff.  That is 100% why this Dodger club is at 72 wins and still feels a bit sluggish.  They will hit 100+ wins for the season… you can and should put money on that.  The Dodgers are expecting to celebrate the entire month of August by welcoming stud pitcher after stud pitcher from the injury reserve list… while they are already the #1 pitching staff in the league… That is a great problem to navigate.  The best starters in the league will very soon have the best bullpen ever assembled.  May, Graterol, and Treinen would all be starters at 75%+ teams in the league… as the Dodgers finish August they will all be middle relievers.  The Dodgers have won 8 of their last 10 games.  They are in the midst of a 5 game win streak (4 straight against the San Francisco Giants, a better offense than the Padres).  They Swept the Giants 4-0, They went 3-1 against the Colorado Rockies, and 1-1 against the Washington National (the last time they faced Soto, except Friday night which is Game 1 of this series) during that stretch.  Wining is the name of the game in LA where the Dodgers are 35-15.

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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis

SD: 61-47, 421 ML, 50-55-3 O/U, 30-24 on the road.
LA: 72-33, 553 ML, 40-54-11 O/U, 35-15 at home.

Offensive Analysis

The Padres are 14th in scoring with 4.45 runs per game, 15th in batting average with .243, and 9th in OBP with .319.

The Dodgers are 2nd in scoring with 5.25 runs per game, 4th in batting average with .258, 1st in OBP .335

Defensive Analysis 

The Padres pitching is 8th in ERA with 3.74, 6th in WHIP with 1.20, and 3rd in errors with 44 on the season.

The Dodgers pitching is 1st in team ERA with 2.94, 1st in WHIP with 1.08, and 9th in errors with 49 on the season so far.

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday August 6th is…  Dodgers 7 - Padres 4
The Dodgers will hammer the Padres with a late bunch of runs.  The Dodgers at home are deadly in late innings.  The hitting keeps coming as the Padres bullpen will struggle to keep up to the pace of the starter.  Look for a Dodger bet on the moneyline… also look for an OVER.
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MLB Betting Trends

San Diego is 8-3 as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
The Dodgers are 30-11 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
The Dodgers are 238-112 as a favorite of -110 or higher the last 3 seasons.

Key Injuries

Padres: SS Fernando Tatis Jr (wrist) still Out ** 1B Matt Beaty (shoulder) Out
Dodgers: LF Chris Taylor (Foot) Out ** 3B Edwin Rios (hamstring) Out

Players to Watch 

Padres: RHP Mike Clevinger, 3-3 3.13 ERA, 59 strikeouts in 60 innings pitched.  1.08 WHIP.  The 31 year old is good to start games… but he is meat to Dodger batters.

Dodgers: LHP Andre Heaney, 1-0, 0.77 ERA, 34 strikeouts in 23 innings pitched.  0.99 WHIP.  This 31 year old is being used lightly in the rotation.  His arm is strong, but his numbers are unreliable as it is based on a super small season total.  He could be meat to the Padres pitchers if the bullpen isn’t brought in soon.  

Starting Lineups 
Padres: LF Jurickson Profar, 3B Manny Machado, RF Juan Soto, DH Josh Bell, 2B Brandon Duffy, 1B Wil Myers, CF Trent Grisham, C Austin Nola, SS Ha-Seong Kim

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, SS Trea Turner, 1B Freddie Freeman, DH Will Smith, 2B Max Muncy, 3B Justin Turner,. C Austin Barnes, LF Gavin Lux, CF Cody Bellinger


Padres: Bob “um ma ma” Melvin
Dodgers: Dave “get me more rings, Mookie” Roberts

Weather Forecast

Sunny all-day with very little cool off at night.  86* for the high.  Humidity 54%, Wind 8 mph, Precipitation 10% chance… in LA that means no precipitation.  The water in the air is belted out by the Ocean winds.  

James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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