Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Saturday, September, 3rd, 2022

Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California

Where to Watch: MLBN (JIP), MLB.tv

DraftKings: Moneyline: Padres +185, Dodgers -213; O/U 8.5

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  

PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

 

Padres: 73-59, 2nd place NL West

Dodgers: 90-40, 1st place NL West

Game 2 of the Padres/Dodgers matchup will be played Saturday night in Dodger Stadium.  Game 1 is tonight (Friday)... The Dodgers will be out for blood in both games.  They just lost two of three games to the New York Mets in Flushing meadows… They are itching to put a smack down on someone and why not their Division rival/permanent little brother?  The Padres have that great one two punch of Manny Machado and Juan Soto at the beginning of their line-up… The Dodgers have that great one, two, three, punch of Mookie Betts, Trea Turner, and Freddie Freeman… Those guys are followed by 3 solid power hitters.  Hot night, no rain… look for scoring, scoring, scoring.

A National League West matchup between the #2 team and the #1 team…. However it is not close.  The betting lines will reflect that.  The records reflect that.  The record over the last month’s games will reflect that.  So what do the Padres have that could beat the Dodgers… Manny Machado, Juan Soto…. Those are two great hitters… They can change a game.  Why don’t the Dodgers worry?  Mookie Betts, Trea Turner, Freddie Freeman… and the best pitching in the game.  This is a rivalry but not a close rivalry.  The Dodgers have the best hitters and the best pitchers while the Padres have settled for average at best with both.  This recommendation will be based on travel, weather, fatigue and pitching.  Let’s check the numbers.

The San Diego Padres have won 7 of their last 10 games, a really good stretch for them.  It helped that they just SWEPT the rapidly sinking San Francisco Giants.  Plus the Padres get a couple days off while the Dodgers will be scrapping with the Mets.  They went 3-0 against the San Francisco Giants, 2-1 against the Kansas City Royals, 0-2 against the Cleveland GUARDIANS, and 2-0 against the Washington Nationals.  They have played well against bad teams over the last 10 games.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 7 of their last 10 games.  It has been a bad ten game stretch for the Dodgers.  Every Dodger game feel like a potential win since they reached 90 wins before 40 losses.  The best pitching coupled with the best hitting is a formula for lots of winning.  You don’t even need great numbers (which they have) to see that this could be a team of destiny.  You only need to compare thyme with the Yankees who have dropped off… History is calling for someone… and only 1 team has 90 wins thus far.  They went 1-1 against the New york mets (with 1 more to play tonight), 3-1 against the Miami Marlins, 2-1 against the Milwaukee Brewers, and 1-0 against the Miami Marlins… They have been winning over the last ten games… and it has been their worst stretch in August which contains a 13 game win streak.

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SDP: 73-59, -149 ML, 

LAD: 90-39, 1371 ML, 52-65-12 O/U, they are 45-23 on the road.

  

The Padres are 14th in scoring with 4.43 runs per game, 16th in batting average with .243, and 7th in OBP with .321

The Dodgers are 1st in scoring with 5.45 runs per game, 3rd in batting average with .263, and 1st in OBP with .338

The Padres pitchers are 10th in ERA with 3.80, 9th in WHIP with 3.80, and their fielders are 13th in errors with 64 on the season so far.

The Dodgers pitchers are 1st in ERA with 2.89, 1st in WHIP with 1.07 (that is a team average!), and the fielders are 8th in errors with 54 on the season so far.

 

Our prediction for Saturday, September 3rd is… Dodgers 8 - Padres 2

Look for the hits to keep on coming!  The Dodgers have been corked up against the Mets pitching and against the Padres will feel like you do at the gym right after taking a few plates off the bar.  The reps start flying.  Bet the Dodgers on the moneyline… If you are feeling frisky you can lay 2.5 runs ATS and take a bigger payout… but do not miss the moneyline bet as insurance.

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The Dodgers are 335-111 as a favorite of -200 or more since 1997 (+65.9 Units)
The Padres are 1-8 on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season (-8.6 Units)
Urias is 25-10 against Division opponents the last 3 seasons.

Padres: C J Alfaro (knee) Out ** SS F Tatis Jr (suspended) Out ** 

Dodgers: C Austin Barnes (personal) Out ** 3B E. Rios (hammy) Out ** CF K Pillar (shoulder) Out ** 

Padres: LHP Sean Manaea, 7-7, 4.90 ERA, 136 strikeouts in 136 innings pitched.  1.33 WHIP.  “The Manealator” gave up 10 hits to the Kansas City Royals in his last outing (which was a loss)... in fact the last 7 starts for Sean have been unkind to his ERA and WHIP as he seems to have completely lost any steam he had this season.

Dodgers: LHP Julio Urias, 14-7, 2.32 ERA, 137 strikeouts in 139 innings pitched.  0.95 WHIP.  Julio is 6-1 in his last 7 starts.  El Culichi is making a case for Joining Anderson, Gonsolin, and Kershaw as a legitimate ACE in this league… He is also only 26 with MLB experience since he was a teenager.  

Padres: SS Ha-Seong Kim, RF Juan Soto, 3B Manny Machado, 1B Josh Bell, DH Brandon Drury, LF Wil Myers, 2B Jake Cronenworth, C Luis Cronenworth, CF Jose Azocar

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, SS Trea Turner, 1B Freddie Freeman, C Will Smith, 3B Max Muncy, DH Justin Turner, 2B Gavin Lux, LF Joey Gallo, CF Cody Bellinger

Mets: Buck “big show” Showalter

Dodgers: Dave “Is this heaven?” Roberts

Sunny, 95*, Humidity 44%.  A super hot day in Los Angeles will give way to a super hot night.  There will be a little cool down.  Los Angeles is experiencing a September HeatWave that will be felt all night long.  The 6 mph Wind will not be felt.  Skip the Dodger Dog… That is the worst food in baseball… instead get an overpriced upper concourse BBQ sandwich… you can taste the profit for the seller, but at least you won’t get sick.