San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies: Preview, Prediction & Odds -- Aug. 16, 2021

by Big Al Staff

Game time: 8:40 p.m. ET
Venue: Coors Field, Denver, CO
Where to watch: Bally Sports San Diego, AT&T SportsNet-RM

Season-to-date
Padres: 67-53 (3rd place, NL West)
Rockies: 52-66 (4th place, NL West)

Recent form
Padres: Snapped four-game losing streak Sunday
Rockies: Lost five of six

Projected lineup


Padres:
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jake Cronenworth (L) SS
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Victor Caratini (S) C
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Ryan Weathers (L) P

Rockies:
Connor Joe (R) LF
Brendan Rodgers (R) 2B
Trevor Story (R) SS
C.J. Cron (R) 1B
Ryan McMahon (L) 3B
Garrett Hampson (R) CF
Yonathan Daza (R) RF
Dom Nunez (L) C
Antonio Senzatela (R) P

Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Padres -135, Rockies +115; Over 11.5 +100, Under 11.5 -120
PointsBet: Padres -140, Rockies +120

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Padres - Rockies preview


Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres will look to get back to their winning form when they clash with the Colorado Rockies for a three-game series at Denver starting Monday.

Tatis Jr. returned to the lineup for the first time since July 31 when he partially dislocated his left shoulder. Playing right field in place of Wil Myers, the 22-year-old superstar re-introduced himself with a vengeance going 4-for-5 with two home runs and four RBI, as the Padres won 8-2 against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday.

The victory ended the Padres’ four-game losing streak, which reached an apex Saturday when Diamondbacks pitcher Tyler Gilbert threw a no-hitter in his first MLB start for a 7-0 win.

San Diego still holds firm of the second wild card in the National League, but trails the San Francisco Giants by 10 games for first place in the National League West. The Los Angeles Dodgers have a six-game cushion on the Padres heading into their Sunday Night game against the New York Mets.

Ryan Weathers is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. The 21-year-old left-hander is 4-5 with a 4.72 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. The rookie has not won since July 6; it’s imperative for the Padres to find someone to stash at the back of the rotation to take the load off Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove and Blake Snell. If the Padres shorten the playoff rotation, it would come down to Weathers and Chris Paddack.

The Rockies’ up-and-down season continued with a 5-2 loss to the Giants at Oracle Park on Sunday. Jon Gray lasted only 4.1 IP with three earned runs on seven hits, while striking out five. Gray’s accuracy was difficult to come by with 24 balls on 69 pitches. The news coverage likely was not nice on this day.

Colorado’s struggles stem from a lack of offense from those not named Trevor Story. Charlie Blackmon, for example, has batted .220 in his last 15 games. Story has batted .373 in his last 15 games. That’s good news; the bad news is only two home runs. MLB games continue to be a weird thing.

Betting trends


The over has cashed in San Diego’s last four series openers.

Colorado is 35-16 in its last 51 games at Coors Field. If only they could string that to the road. That alone should question your money line choice.

Prediction


This has all the makings of a trap game. The Rockies odds should not be that good to win, but that’s why these are free bets. But they’re a good team at home. The only thing that’s enticing is the return of Tatis Jr. and how that sends shockwaves throughout the lineup. For that, we feel good about San Diego getting a win. Padres win, under cashes.

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