San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/27/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Apr 26, 2022
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, April 27, 2022
Venue:  Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Where to Watch:  BSOH

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -140, Reds +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -140, Reds +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -140, Reds +120; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  10-7 (4th place, NL West)
Cincinnati Reds:  3-13 (5th place, NL Central)
 
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San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10
Cincinnati Reds:  1-9 last 10
 
 
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 10-7 record overall and they are 4-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Reds on Wednesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Joe Musgrove is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while MacKenzie Gore will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits in 5 IP against the Cincinnati Reds. They scored 6 runs in their last series averaging just over 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 18 runs against them averaging 6 runs allowed per game.
 

Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Reds are coming into this game with a 3-13 record overall and they are 1-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 11 of their last 12 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped an 11 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Wednesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Reiver Sanmartin was the starter for them on Tuesday while Vladimir Gutiérrez will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Wednesday. He is 0-3 with a 5.54 ERA this season. His team has lost all 3 games this season with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 2 strikeouts on 2 hits through 4.2 innings played against the San Diego Padres. They scored 6 runs in their last series averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Padres vs Reds Prediction

The Padres are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well to start the season though as they are well above .500 right now. They just lost their series against the Dodgers taking 1 game from them but they did sweep the Reds in a series prior to that one against the Dodgers. The Padres won every game in that series by multiple runs and the Reds have still only won 1 game since then. The Reds have lost every game that Gutiérrez has started in this season and they have had a big problem scoring runs in their games. Gore is still a rookie but he has pitched well in his starts so far and the Padres still have a bigger advantage with him on the mound and with the way they have been hitting the ball. This will be another loss for the struggling Reds here. The best bet in this game is on the Padres to win.
 
Padres Reds Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, April 27, 2022 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 7 Reds 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 100-70 (-16.2 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 51-46 (-5.9 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 34-26 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds: 4-2 (+3.3 Units) ML revenging a 3 game sweep at the hands of their opponents. 25-16 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 25-18 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  L. Voit (1B) Out indefinitely - Bicep injury. M. Clevinger (SP) Early May - Knee injury. B. Snell (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury.
Cincinnati Reds:  J. India (2B) Prob Tues - Hamstring injury. D. Duarte (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. D. Solano (2B) Early May - Hamstring injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"To have that moment was really cool. And I know my mom (Opal) loved it, too. It doesn't really happen often that you have a brother that's in the big leagues and one that's in the military and then for his base to be out here. It was a beautiful moment.″ - Sean Manaea after their loss against the Dodgers on Sunday.
 
 
"Nine right-handed bats with a team of this caliber really feels good, especially after the skid we've been on." - Nick Lodolo after their win against the Cardinals on Sunday. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
Austin Nola (R) DH
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Wil Myers (R) RF
Jorge Alfaro (R) C
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
 
Cincinnati Reds
Tyler Naquin (L) RF
Kyle Farmer (R) SS
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Colin Moran (L) DH
Nick Senzel (R) CF
Alejo Lopez (S) 2B
JT Riddle (L) 3B
Mark Kolozsvary (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Eric Hosmer (.375)
Hits:  Manny Machado (21)
Home Runs:  Jurickson Profar (4)
RBI:  Jurickson Profar (11)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (3)
Wins:  Steven Wilson (2)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (5)
ERA:  Taylor Rogers (0.00)
 
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average:  Aramis Garcia (.294)
Hits:  Kyle Farmer (13)
Home Runs:  Tyler Stephenson (2)
RBI:  Kyle Farmer (7)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Farmer (1)
Wins:  Hunter Greene (1)
Saves:  Tony Santillan (1)
ERA:  Alexis Diaz (0.00)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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