San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/15/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 11:35 am ET, Sunday, May 15, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  Peacock

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  21-12 (2nd place, NL West)
Atlanta Braves:  15-18 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 21-12 record overall and they are 11-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Sean Manaea is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Joe Musgrove is on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA this season. His team won all 6 of their games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits in 7 IP against the Miami Marlins. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging just over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just over 5 runs allowed per game.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 15-18 record overall and they are 9-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just split their 2-game series against the Boston Red Sox 1-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Padres on Sunday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Charlie Morton is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Kyle Wright will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 3-2 with a 3.03 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits in 4.2 innings played against the Boston Red Sox. They scored 9 runs in their last series averaging 4.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 6 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Padres vs Braves Prediction

The Padres are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. The Padres have been playing well in their recent games winning 2 of their last 3 and they have been scoring a lot of runs in their games as well. They already took game 1 of this series and they will be hungry to win this series after losing their last one to the Cubs. Their manager is away from the team right now getting surgery done but the team has been playing very well in his absence trying to get as many wins for him as possible. The Braves have been playing much better recently and they have been hitting the ball much better than they were at the start of the season but they have lost 2 of their last 3 games and their pitching has not been great in those losses. They do have a good starter on the mound here but the Padres do as well so this may come down to who can hit the ball more and the Padres have just been better at that recently. The best bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
 
Padres Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, May 15, 2022 (11:35 am ET start time) is Padres 4 Braves 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 28-46 (-11.5 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 139-122 (-24.9 Units) ML in all games. 27-18 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.
Atlanta Braves: 70-47 (+11.9 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 61-34 (+19.2 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 13-6 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  B. Snell (SP) Late May - Groin. T. Hill (RP) Late May - Shoulder. A. Morejon (SP) Mid June - Elbow.
Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (LF) Ques Sat - Groin. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"You can't say enough about how Hosmer and (Manny) Machado have been up to this point. Hosmer went out there and continued to do it today. The fact that we were able to get 16 hits and score 11 runs sends a lot of guys back to the hotel feeling good about themselves." - Ryan Christenson after his team’s win against the Braves on Friday.
 
 
"It's great because he hasn't been playing a lot. He hasn't lost his enthusiasm. He's been working." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Red Sox on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Luke Voit (R) DH
Wil Myers (R) RF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Jorge Alfaro (R) C
 
Atlanta Braves
Travis Demeritte (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
William Contreras (R) DH
Guillermo Heredia (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Eric Hosmer (.377)
Hits:  Manny Machado (46)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (7)
RBI:  Eric Hosmer (23)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (6)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (4)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (13)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.355)
Hits:  Matt Olson (32)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (7)
RBI:  Travis d'Arnaud (15)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (5)
Wins:  Max Fried (4)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (8)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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