San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/14/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, May 13, 2022
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, May 14, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  20-12 (2nd place, NL West)
Atlanta Braves:  15-17 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

San Diego Padres Analysis

The Padres are coming into this game with a 20-12 record overall and they are 10-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Yu Darvish is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Sean Manaea is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits in 6 IP against the Miami Marlins. They scored 10 runs in their last series averaging just over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just over 5 runs allowed per game.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 15-17 record overall and they are 9-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just split their 2-game series against the Boston Red Sox 1-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Padres on Saturday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Max Fried is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Charlie Morton will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 2-3 with a 5.65 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 5 strikeouts on 2 hits in 5 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers. They scored 9 runs in their last series averaging 4.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 6 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Padres vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. The Braves got off to a very slow start this season, they were not hitting the ball very well in their games and their pitching was also very inconsistent but they have been playing much better in their recent games. They have been putting together some win streaks now and their pitching has been a lot better as well as their hitting. They are going up against a Padres side that has started to drop a few of their games recently, losing their last series. They also have Manaea on the mound here and he has had a few bad starts in his last few now while Morton is starting for the Braves and he was awful at the start of the season but has been much better in his last 2 starts and is finally finding his form. Morton has been pitching very well now and he gives the advantage to the Braves in this game as they have been hitting the ball well and will likely beat up on Manaea here. The best bet in this game is on the Braves to win.
 
Padres Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 14, 2022 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Braves 6 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 138-122 (-26.3 Units) ML in all games. 27-46 (-12.9 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 26-18 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.
Atlanta Braves: 70-46 (+13.4 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 61-34 (+19.2 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 12-6 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  B. Snell (SP) Late May - Groin. T. Hill (RP) Late May - Shoulder. A. Morejon (SP) Mid June - Elbow.
Atlanta Braves:  R. Acuna Jr. (LF) Ques Fri - Groin. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It really makes you appreciate where you are, what you're doing right now. There's a lot of things bigger than this game. We're all here supporting Bob and we wish him the best tomorrow." - Mike Clevinger after their win against the Cubs on Tuesday.
 
 
"It's great because he hasn't been playing a lot. He hasn't lost his enthusiasm. He's been working." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Red Sox on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Luke Voit (R) DH
Wil Myers (R) RF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) SS
Austin Nola (R) C
Jose Azocar (R) CF
 
Atlanta Braves
Travis Demeritte (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Adam Duvall (R) CF
William Contreras (R) DH
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.383)
Hits:  Manny Machado (46)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (7)
RBI:  Manny Machado (22)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (6)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (4)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (12)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Orlando Arcia (.355)
Hits:  Matt Olson (32)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (7)
RBI:  Travis d'Arnaud (15)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (5)
Wins:  Max Fried (4)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (8)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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