San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/29/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 28, 2022
Game Time: 3:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  BSAZ

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -155, Diamondbacks +135; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -155, Diamondbacks +135; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Padres -155, Diamondbacks +135; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

San Diego Padres:  45-30 (2nd place, NL West)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  33-41 (4th place, NL West)
 
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Recent Form
San Diego Padres:  4-6 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis

 
The Padres are on a 2 game losing streak coming into this game. They lost their last series against the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 45-30 record overall and have a road record of 24-14. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Sean Manaea is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Mike Clevinger will be making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-0 with a 3.52 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks. 
 
The Diamondbacks were on a 5 game losing streak before winning in their last game. They lost their last series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 33-41 record overall and have a home record of 18-21. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Padres on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .672 OPS. Zac Gallen is on the mound on Tuesday while Madison Bumgarner will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 3-7 with a 3.75 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB on 5 Ks with 9 hits through 4 IP against the San Diego Padres. 

 

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a favorite in this game. They did not have a good series over the weekend as they lost 3 of their 4 games to the Phillies at home but the Padres have been a better team on the road this season and are up +10 units in all of their road games. They have Clevinger starting here who has been having a good season and has not allowed many runs in his starts. The Diamondbacks have Bumgarner starting here and he has been good this season but has been slipping up in his recent starts. He is responsible for 7 of the losses this season and he is coming off of another bad start where he allowed 4 runs in the game. The D-backs were just beaten in a series at home to the Tigers who have not been good on the road this season and their offense was very dead in 2 of those games. Clevinger should shut down their lineup here and this will turn into another road win for the Padres. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
 
Padres Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 29, 2022 (3:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 4 Diamondbacks 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
San Diego Padres: 45-30 (+9.2 Units) ML in all games. 24-14 (+10.2 Units) ML in road games. 16-10 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150.
Arizona Diamondbacks: 110-186 (-49.8 Units) ML in all games. 66-84 (-10.3 Units) ML in home games. 15-6 UNDER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
San Diego Padres:  M. Machado (3B) Out indefinitely - Ankle. M. Beaty (1B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. F. Tatis Jr. (SS) Mid July - Wrist.
Arizona Diamondbacks:  N. Ahmed (SS) out for season - Shoulder. H. Castellanos (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Bukauskas (RP) Mid July - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Obviously, I felt terrible hitting him. I don't do that and he knows that. We've talked, we've handled it. He plays with a lot of passion and I can understand why he'd be upset. I'm just as upset as he is — I hit him. ... I just hope he recovers quickly and gets back out there and continues to compete." - Blake Snell on hitting Bryce Harper with a pitch after their loss against the Phillies on Saturday.
 
 
"For somebody who's won a Cy Young I was kind of thrilled to hear him say that because I knew he was ready for this challenge. It was nice to see Dallas get out there. He was attacking the zone ... I'm very pleased with what I saw, the preparation to command the baseball, throw it where he wants to." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Tigers on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
San Diego Padres
Jurickson Profar (S) LF
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Jorge Alfaro (R) DH
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Austin Nola (R) C
Nomar Mazara (L) RF
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
C.J. Abrams (L) SS
Jose Azocar (R) CF
 
Arizona Diamondbacks
Josh Rojas (L) 3B
Pavin Smith (L) RF
Ketel Marte (S) DH
Christian Walker (R) 1B
David Peralta (L) LF
Buddy Kennedy (R) 2B
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Carson Kelly (R) C
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Manny Machado (.328)
Hits:  Manny Machado (83)
Home Runs:  Manny Machado (12)
RBI:  Manny Machado (46)
Stolen Bases:  Manny Machado (7)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (8)
Saves:  Taylor Rogers (22)
ERA:  Austin Adams (0.00)
 
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Alek Thomas (.267)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (62)
Home Runs:  Christian Walker (19)
RBI:  Christian Walker (38)
Stolen Bases:  Josh Rojas (5)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (6)
Saves:  Mark Melancon (11)
ERA:  Carson Kelly (0.00)
 
Managers:
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (1st season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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