San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/26/2026

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs +5.5, Thunder -5.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs +5.5, Thunder -5.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs +5.5, Thunder -5.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

San Antonio Spurs:  62-20 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  64-18 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Vegas Writer is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 19-10 NBA RUN for +$8,000 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

San Antonio Spurs:  6-4 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

The Spurs are entering the playoffs with a 62-20 record overall this season and they were 29-12 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Victor Wembanyama led the team in points in that game with 33 while Devin Vassell and Stephon Castle each were next on the team with 13 points. Stephon Castle led the team in assists in that game with 6 while De'Aaron Fox led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 38.9% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 56-40-2 this season and their O/U record is 46-52.

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 64-18 record overall this season and they were 34-7 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 19 while Isaiah Hartenstein was next on the team with 12 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 33% from the field, 18.2% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 46-48 this season and their O/U record is 52-42.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 60-22 record overall which had them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 29-12 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 64-18 record overall which had them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 34-7 home record this season. This is game 3 of a 7-game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 2nd seeded Spurs for the Western Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. This series is all evened up 2-2 after the Spurs won game 4 by a score of 103-82. The Spurs looked great to open up this series with a road win, but they gave it all back with 2 losses in a row after that. Now they are off a crushing win over the Thunder in game 4, but they still need to win another road game to win this series now. The Spurs gave the Thunder a lot of trouble during the regular season, but it has been a different story in the playoffs so far. The series is evened up now, but the Thunder have still looked like the better team in this series. They didn't look good in the last game, but they also didn't need to win that game as they completed the mission with a road win in game 3. The Spurs won on the road in game 1, but they still needed OT to squeak out that win and they don't have the playoff experience that the defending champions have either. Look for the Thunder to make a statement back at home here and give the Spurs their first taste of facing elimination in the playoffs this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Spurs Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, May 26, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 120 Spurs 111.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this San Antonio Spurs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

San Antonio Spurs: 28-19 ATS in road games. 14-7 ATS as an underdog. 10-5 ATS in all playoff games. 11-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 5-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 4-0 OVER when tied in a playoff series.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 9-17 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 1-6 ATS at home off a road loss. 3-6 ATS at home versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 15-7 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 28-17 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

San Antonio Spurs:  D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  J. Williams (SG) Day To Day - Hamstring. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Undisclosed. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

“We all have high standards and I know I have a lot of responsibilities, but I’m here for it. Yeah, it was better today. It wasn’t perfect. But, you know, all of us, I’m talking about the whole organization, so we’re going to have to do things that we didn’t sign up for.” - Victor Wembanyama after their win against the OKC Thunder in the 4th game of this series on Sunday. 

“They just punched us in our face early. It’s two games in a row they’ve come out the aggressor. The last game we were able to course correct. Tonight, we just didn’t do so.” - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander after their loss against the Spurs in game 4 of this series on Sunday. 

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Cason Wallace

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (25)

APG: Stephon Castle (7.4)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.5)

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.4)

Coaches:

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)