San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/01/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 31, 2026
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 1, 2026
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs -12.5, Warriors +12.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs -12.5, Warriors +12.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs -12.5, Warriors +12.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Season Record

San Antonio Spurs:  57-18 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Golden State Warriors:  36-39 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Harry Gagnon is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on an 18-6 NBA RUN for +$11,420 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs:  9-1 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  4-6 last 10


San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Spurs are entering this game with a 57-18 record overall this season and they are 27-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 9 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Sacramento Kings, the Phoenix Suns, the Indiana Pacers, the Miami Heat, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Milwaukee Bucks, and the Chicago Bulls. Victor Wembanyama led the team in points in that game with 41 while Stephon Castle was next on the team with 21 points. Stephon Castle led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Victor Wembanyama led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 51% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 70.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.3 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 42-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 33-43.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 36-39 record overall this season and they are 21-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Denver Nuggets. Kristaps Porziņģis and Brandin Podziemski each led the team in points in that game with 23 while Gary Payton II was next on the team with 16 points. Draymond Green and Pat Spencer each led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Gui Santos led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 42.2% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.9 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 32-43 this season and their O/U record is 45-30.


Spurs vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 57-18 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 27-11 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Warriors haven't looked good in their games this season with their 36-39 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West. They have looked a lot better on their home court though with their 21-15 home record this season. The Warriors have already clinched a spot in the play-in tournament, but that is mainly because the teams below them in the West have been so bad this season. This is not a playoff team that the Warriors have and they have done nothing but fall in the standings since losing Curry and Butler. They are off a loss to the Nuggets in their last one and they haven't looked any better lately either, going 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Spurs have been rolling though with their 9-1 record in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 9 wins in a row now. The Spurs have already clinched a playoff spot and the Lakers are too far behind them to catch up, but they can still catch the Thunder for the number 1 seed and will continue to roll right into the playoffs. Look for the Spurs to continue rolling against a bad Warriors team that has been in a free fall over the last few weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Spurs Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 1, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Spurs 127 Warriors 109.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

NBA Betting Trends


San Antonio Spurs: 22-15 ATS in road games. 32-22 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 9-5 ATS on the road after playing a home game. 19-12 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record. 17-10 UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less. 

Golden State Warriors: 2-7 ATS as a home underdog. 4-8 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 3-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 10-5 UNDER after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 

Key Injuries


San Antonio Spurs:  D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

Golden State Warriors:  Q. Post (C) Day To Day - Foot. W. Richard (SG) Day To Day - Heel. A. Horford (C) Day To Day - Calf. S. Curry (PG) Out - Knee. M. Moody (SG) Out For Season - Knee. J. Butler III (SF) Out For Season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


"A sense of urgency and sharpness. They responded well to that timeout and responded out of halftime, but we didn't sustain it as much as I wish and we are capable of." - Mitch Johnson after his team’s win against the Bulls in their game on Monday. 


"He's banged up. His thumb is really bothering him and I think he's pressing a bit. He's dribbling into traffic. He's had a great season. Last couple games have been tough, but he's been banged up and we'll help him get right." - Steve Kerr on Melton after his team’s loss against the Nuggets in their game on Sunday. 


Starting Lineups


San Antonio Spurs
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Stephon Castle
SF Devin Vassell
PF Julian Champagnie
C Victor Wembanyama

Golden State Warriors
PG Brandin Podziemski
SG De'Anthony Melton
SF Gui Santos
PF Draymond Green
C Kristaps Porzingis

Statistical Leaders


San Antonio Spurs
PPG: Victor Wembanyama (24.5)
APG: Stephon Castle (7.2)
Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.4)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: Stephen Curry (27.2)
APG: Draymond Green (5.4)
Reb/G: Jimmy Butler III (5.6)

Coaches:
San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2026 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.