San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/31/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Mar 30, 2023
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, March 31, 2023
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs +15.5, Warriors -15.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs +15.5, Warriors -15.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs +15.5, Warriors -15.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points

Season Record

San Antonio Spurs:  19-57 (4th place, Southwest Division)
Golden State Warriors:  40-37 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs:  2-8 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10


San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Spurs are coming into this game with a 19-57 record overall and they are 6-31 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game losing streak with losses coming against the New Orleans Pelicans, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Washington Wizards, the Boston Celtics, and the Utah Jazz in their last game. Malaki Branham led the team in points in that game with 21 while Tre Jones, Sandro Mamukelashvili, and Devonte' Graham each were next on the team with 17 points. Tre Jones and Devonte' Graham each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Zach Collins and Sandro Mamukelashvili each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.4% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 122.6 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 30-46 this season and their O/U record is 42-32-2.



The Warriors are coming into this game with a 40-37 record overall and they are 31-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 39 while Jordan Poole was next on the team with 21 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Stephen Curry and Kevon Looney each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 52.4% from the field, 45% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.6 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 36-40-1 this season and their O/U record is 41-33-3.


Spurs vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 15.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors haven't been great this season with their 40-37 record overall, especially since they are the defending NBA Champions, but they have been a really good home team all year and are going to start getting on a roll here as they still need to secure a playoff spot. They are 31-8 in their home games this season and they are getting a nice matchup here as they are playing one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Spurs are only 19-57 overall this season making them one of the worst teams in the West and the entire NBA, and they have been even worse in their road games with a 6-31 road record. They have no momentum on their side either with 5 losses in a row now while the Warriors are coming off of a nice win at home by double digits and will be looking to continue that with another home win here. The Warriors will be really focused on this game as they need to get hot now with the playoffs right around the corner and they have crushed this Spurs team in the past too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Spurs Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 31, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 134 Spurs 102.
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NBA Betting Trends


San Antonio Spurs: 11-26 ATS as a road underdog. 1-14 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 17-7 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive losses.
Golden State Warriors: 22-12 ATS as a home favorite. 26-18 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 35-26 UNDER against Southwest division opponents.

Key Injuries


San Antonio Spurs:  J. Sochan (PF) Ques Fri - Knee. K. Johnson (SF) Ques Fri - Foot. K. Birch (C) Early April - Knee. C. Bassey (C) out for season - Knee.
Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Late April - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot. A. Wiggins (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.


Notable Quotes


“It’s pretty much been like that all year, so we’re kind of used to it. As long as they’re giving effort, they’re all learning. They’re making mistakes, but overall, that’s what we’re trying to do. No matter who’s out, no matter who’s not playing, other guys are happy to get minutes.” - Gregg Popovich after his team’s loss against the Jazz in their game on Wednesday.


“Draymond willed us to victory tonight. His frustration early with the way we were playing. Mad at the world. Yelling at everybody, their bench, our bench, me, and frankly we all deserved it.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Pelicans in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


San Antonio Spurs
PG Tre Jones 
SG Devin Vassell
SF Keldon Johnson 
PF Keita Bates-Diop 
C Zach Collins

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Donte DiVincenzo
PF Jonathan Kuminga
C Draymond Green

Statistical Leaders


San Antonio Spurs
PPG: K. Johnson (22)
APG: T. Jones (6.3)
Reb/G: Z. Collins (6.3)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.6)
APG: D. Green (6.9)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.1)

Coaches:
San Antonio Spurs: Gregg Popovich (27th season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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