San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/11/2026

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs -5.5, Warriors +5.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs -5.5, Warriors +5.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs -5.5, Warriors +5.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

San Antonio Spurs:  36-16 (1st place, Southwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  29-25 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

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San Antonio Spurs:  7-3 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  4-6 last 10

The Spurs are entering this game with a 36-16 record overall this season and they are 16-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Orlando Magic, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the Dallas Mavericks twice in a row, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Los Angeles Lakers still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Mavericks, Stephon Castle led the team in points in that game with 40 while Devin Vassell was next on the team with 17 points. Stephon Castle led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Stephon Castle led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 55.6% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 70% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.2 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 28-23-2 this season and their O/U record is 21-32.

The Warriors are entering this game with a 29-25 record overall this season and they are 18-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Memphis Grizzlies. Pat Spencer led the team in points in that game with 17 while Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, and Al Horford each were next on the team with 16 points. Pat Spencer led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Al Horford led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 53% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 25-29 this season and their O/U record is 31-23.

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked really good in their games this season with their 36-16 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have been a good road team too with their 16-10 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 29-25 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West. They have looked great on their home court with their 18-9 home record this season. The Warriors are off a win over the Grizzlies in their last one, but they barely won that game at home by 1 point and they haven't looked good lately. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and they have been dealing with a lot of key injuries lately. They lost Jimmy Butler for the season which already put a damper on their hopes as a contender, but now they are missing Steph Curry and that has been a huge blow. They have been finding ways to win games lately, but they have been just getting by in those and they don't have the talent right now to compete with a team like the Spurs. The Spurs are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they have been rolling lately with 4 wins in a row now. They are on a back-to-back here with a game against the Mavericks the night before so the Warriors do have the rest advantage, but the Spurs also have the youth and the depth to be fine in these situations. This is a great opportunity for the Spurs to really flex their muscles on the road as one of the best teams in the West. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Spurs Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, February 11, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Spurs 113 Warriors 102.

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San Antonio Spurs: 6-3 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 22-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 6-3 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 24-18 OVER against Pacific division opponents.

Golden State Warriors: 15-23 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 27-39 ATS at home when playing against a team with a winning record. 18-28 ATS at home versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 10-5 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5.

San Antonio Spurs:  L. Waters III (SG) Out - Knee.

Golden State Warriors:  K. Porzingis (C) Day To Day - Achilles. S. Curry (PG) Day To Day - Knee. L. Cryer (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. S. Curry (SG) Out - Back. J. Butler III (SF) Out For Season - Knee.

"One of the best stat lines I've seen with my own eyes." - Victor Wembanyama on Stephon Castle after their win against the Mavericks in their game on Saturday.

“We were probably due for one of those. You know, it seems like we’ve lost four or five of those this year, and I’m not sure we really deserved it, but we’ll take it.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Monday.

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PG Pat Spencer

SG De'Anthony Melton

SF Moses Moody

PF Draymond Green

C Al Horford

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (23.9)

APG: Stephon Castle (7)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.1)

PPG: Stephen Curry (27.2)

APG: Draymond Green (5.2)

Reb/G: Draymond Green (5.6)

Coaches:

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)