San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/22/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, October 22, 2021
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ALT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Spurs +7, Nuggets -7; Over/Under:  219 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Spurs +7, Nuggets -7; Over/Under:  218.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Spurs NL, Nuggets NL; Over/Under:  NL points

Season Record

San Antonio Spurs:  1-0 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Denver Nuggets:  1-0 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
San Antonio Spurs:  won at home on Oct. 20 against the Orlando Magic 123-97.
Denver Nuggets:  won on the road on Oct. 20 against the Phoenix Suns 110-98.

San Antonio Spurs Analysis

The Spurs are coming into this game with a 1-0 record to start their season off. They won their first game of the year against the Orlando Magic 123-97. This will be the first leg of a back-to-back for them as they return home after this game to face the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday night. They won their first game of the season in a game that they controlled from the start, leading after every single quarter. Devin Vassell led the team in points in that game with 19 while getting 5 assists and 2 rebounds. Lonnie Walker was 2nd on the team with 17 points in that one. The wealth was spread around pretty evenly in that game as Derrick White had 16 points while Dejounte Murray and Keldon Johnson both had 15 points each. Murray led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jakob Poeltl led the team in rebounds with 13. The Spurs opened as a 5.5 point favorite in that game and the line closed at 7 points at most books while the total opened at 215.5 and dropped to 212.5 before tip off. The Spurs covered that spread with ease while the game went over with 220 total points.

Denver Nuggets Analysis

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 1-0 record to start their season. They are coming off of a win against the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday winning that one 110-98. They will get a 2 day break after this game on Friday as they await the Cleveland Cavaliers in their next game on Monday. Nikola Jokic led the team in points in that game with 27 while Will Barton was 2nd on the team with 20 points. Michael Porter Jr. came away with 15 points while Aaron Gordon had 12. Porter Jr. and Barton both led the team in assists with 5 while Jokic led the team in rebounds with 13. The Nuggets opened as a 6.5 point underdog in their season opener while the total was set at 224.5 points, both of those lines dropping by 1 point or less by the time the lines closed. The Nuggets won that game straight up on the moneyline as a +200 underdog while the game stayed under the total with 208 points total.


Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets are coming into this one as a 7 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams played very well in their openers with good offense and good defense. Both teams scored over 110 points in their respective season openers while both allowing their opponents to score less than 100 points against them. The Nuggets did play a very good team in their first game but this is too many points for them to cover against a Spurs team that looks like they are going to have a good season this year. The best bet to place in this game is on the Spurs to cover the spread as they will make it a close game.
Spurs Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, October 22, 2021 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 114 Spurs 110.
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NBA Betting Trends

San Antonio Spurs: 146-131 O/U as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 271-235 O/U as an underdog. 225-212 O/U as a road underdog. 548-543 O/U in road games. 186-165 O/U against Northwest division opponents.
Denver Nuggets: 303-275 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1042-989 O/U in all games. 235-213 O/U when the total is 210 to 219.5. 491-451 O/U as a favorite. 362-333 O/U as a home favorite. 513-482 O/U in home games. 

Key Injuries

San Antonio Spurs:  D. Cacok (PF) Ques Fri - Personal. Z. Collins (PF) Late Dec - Ankle injury.
Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) Prob Fri - Hip injury. J. Murray (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.

Players to Watch

San Antonio Spurs: Derrick White is one player to watch in this matchup. He led the starters in points in their last game and he will be a big force on their offense in this game. Look for him to have a good game as they will need him at his best to win this one.
Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic is one player to watch in this contest. He led the team in points and in rebounds in their last game and he is one of their best players on the starting lineup right now. Look for him to put the team on his back again and try to carry them to a win here.

Notable Quotes

"It was a lot of fun. Get out, run, make a play for yourself or a teammate. The crowd's into it. It was a lot of fun out there." - Derrick White after their season opener.
"It's a hell of a way to start the season. But it's one game, 81 left." - Michael Malone on his team’s win over the Suns in their season opener.

Starting Lineups

San Antonio Spurs
PG     Dejounte Murray
SG     Derrick White
SF     Doug McDermott
PF    Keldon Johnson
C     Jakob Poeltl
Denver Nuggets
PG    Monte Morris
SG    Will Barton
SF     Michael Porter Jr.
PF    Aaron Gordon
C     Nikola Jokic

Statistical Leaders

San Antonio Spurs
PPG: D. Vassell (19)
APG: D. Murray (8)
Reb/G: J. Poeltl (13)
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (27)
APG: W. Barton (5)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (13)
San Antonio Spurs: Gregg Popovich (26th season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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