Saint Mary's Gaels vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/17/2021

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, December 17, 2021

Venue:  Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  FloSports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  St Mary’s -2, SDSU +2; Over/Under:  119.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  St Mary’s NL, SDSU NL; Over/Under:  NL points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  St Mary’s NL, SDSU NL; Over/Under:  119.5 points

 

Saint Mary's Gaels:  10-2 (2nd place, WCC)

San Diego State Aztecs:  6-3 (6th place, MWC)

 

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Saint Mary's Gaels:  4-1 last 5

San Diego State Aztecs:  3-2 last 5

 

 

 

SMC is coming into this game with a 10-2 record overall and they are 2-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Colorado State Rams while their 4 wins in that span came against the UC Riverside Highlanders, the Utah State Aggies, the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, and the Cal State Stanislaus Warriors in their last game. Kyle Bowen and Matthias Tass both led the team in points in that game with 12 each while Logan Johnson was next on the team with 10 points. Augustas Marciulionis led the team in assists in that game off the bench with 6 while Bowen and Tass both led the team in rebounds with 9 each. They are 46.6% from the field, 34.1% from 3-point range, and 69.6% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 68.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 57.6 PPG against them. Saint Mary's has an ATS record of 7-4 this season and their O/U record is 3-8.

 

 

SDSU is coming into this contest with a 6-3 record overall and they are 1-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Michigan Wolverines while their 2 wins in that span came against the Long Beach State 49ers and the Cal State Fullerton Titans in their last game. Matt Bradley led the team in points in that game with 22 while Trey Pulliam was next on the team with 15 points. Adam Seiko also scored 11 points in that one as well. Keshad Johnson, Pulliam, and Bradley all led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Nathan Mensah led the team in rebounds with 9. They are 41.1% from the field, 29.3% from three-point range, and 66.1% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 63.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 59.2 PPG against them. SDSU has an ATS record of 3-6 this season and their O/U record is 2-7.

 

Saint Mary's is coming into this matchup as a 2 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Saint Mary's have been playing very well this season with just 2 losses in their 12 games. They have also played more games than SDSU has and they have had a tougher schedule yet SDSU still has more losses than them. SDSU plays well on defense but they are barely scoring over 65 points per game and that will get them into trouble against a team here that has a chance of making it to the NCAA tournament this year. Saint Mary's is going to bury them in this game with their offense and win this game comfortably. The best bet to place in this game is on Saint Mary's to cover the spread here.

 

Saint Mary's San Diego State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, December 17, 2021 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Saint Mary’s 75 SDSU 61.

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Saint Mary's Gaels: 81-51 ATS as a road favorite or pick. 26-10 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick. 39-26 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3. 21-12 ATS in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less. 22-13 ATS against Mountain West conference opponents. 

San Diego State Aztecs: 2-7 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 5-16 O/U as a home underdog or pick. 90-136 O/U in all home games. 29-58 O/U in December games. 7-14 O/U when playing with 7 or more days rest. 56-92 O/U after 3 consecutive non-conference games. 81-122 O/U after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds. 8-14 O/U off a home win by 10 points or more.

 

 

Saint Mary's Gaels:  None.

San Diego State Aztecs:  T. Diabate (F) Ques Fri - Illness. A. Arop (F) Ques Fri - Hip injury. L. Butler (G) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. J. Ledee (F) out for season - Redshirt.

 

 

“First half, I don’t know if we’ve ever shot it so poorly, 0-12 has to be one of our worst shooting halves. For them to come out in that second half, I think we shot 65 percent, we hit seven threes, made our free throws. And still on the defensive end, we held them under 40 percent. In the second half, our guys were awesome.” - Mickey McConnell on their win against USU.

 

 

“With them being the team they’re going to be this year, if we go in and happen to catch lightning in a bottle and get a win, it could put us in the tournament. It could get us that at-large bid. So it’s worth the gamble to go in there and not have a return game, just go in for a one-off game and build our résumé.” - Brian Dutcher before a game against Michigan earlier in the season.

 

 

 

K. Bowen 

A. Ducas 

L. Johnson 

T. Kuhse 

M. Tass

 

M. Bradley 

L. Butler 

K. Johnson 

N. Mensah 

T. Pulliam

 

 

PPG: D. Fotu (11.8)

APG: T. Kuhse (3.3)

Reb/G: K. Bowen (6.5)

 

PPG: M. Bradley (15)

APG: T. Pulliam (3.3)

RPG: N. Mensah (7.7)

 

Coaches:

Saint Mary's Gaels: Randy Bennett (21st season)

San Diego State Aztecs: Brian Dutcher (5th season)