Saint Mary's Gaels vs Loyola Marymount Lions Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/27/2025

Game Time: 11:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 27, 2025

Venue:  Gersten Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA

Where to Watch:  CBSSN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Saint Mary’s -12.5, LMU +12.5; Over/Under:  132.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Saint Mary’s -12.5, LMU +12.5; Over/Under:  132.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Saint Mary’s -12.5, LMU +12.5; Over/Under:  132.5 points

Saint Mary's Gaels:  25-4 (15-1) (1st place, WCC)

Loyola Marymount Lions:  16-13 (8-9) (6th place, WCC)

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Saint Mary's Gaels:  5-0  last 5

Loyola Marymount Lions:  2-3  last 5

Saint Mary’s is entering this game with a 25-4 record overall, a 15-1 record in conference games, and they are 8-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Gonzaga Bulldogs in their last game. Mikey Lewis led the team in points per game in that game with 18 while Mitchell Saxen was next on the team with 16. Augustas Marčiulionis led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Mitchell Saxen led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 37.5% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.9 PPG against them. Saint Mary’s has an ATS record of 14-14 this season and their O/U record is 11-16-1.

Loyola Marymount is entering this game with a 16-13 record overall, an 8-9 conference record, and they are 11-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Pepperdine Waves in their last game. Aleksandre Merkviladze led the team in points in that game with 21 while Will Johnston was next on the team with 19. Jan Vide led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Jan Vide led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 51.5% from the field, 46.4% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 70.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. Loyola Marymount has an ATS record of 12-16 this season and their O/U record is 13-14-1.

The current betting odds have Saint Mary's listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Saint Mary's has looked really good in their games this season with their 25-4 record overall and their 15-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the WCC. They have been a great road team too with their 8-1 road record this season. Meanwhile, Loyola Marymount hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 16-13 record overall and their 8-9 conference record which has them right in the middle of the WCC. They have looked good on their home court with their 11-5 home record this year, but they haven't been a dominant team there and they definitely aren't a tournament team. They are coming off a win over Pepperdine in their last one, but Pepperdine is one of the worst teams in the conference and LMU hasn't looked that good lately as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games. They have also been getting blown out in their losses by weaker teams in the WCC, and now they have to finish the regular season with the best team in the conference. Saint Mary's has a ton of momentum on their side right now with 5 wins in a row, and they have been rolling over teams lately with wins by double digits. Look for Saint Mary's to finish the regular season strong here and take this momentum into the WCC Tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on Saint Mary's to cover the spread in this game. 

Saint Mary's Loyola Marymount Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, February 27, 2025 (11:00 pm ET start time) is Saint Mary’s 79 Loyola Marymount 62.

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Saint Mary's Gaels: 30-19 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 28-18 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 17-9 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. 8-0 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 16-10 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season.

Loyola Marymount Lions: 8-16 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 assists/game or more. 12-19 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 27-17 OVER in all home games. 7-2 OVER in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 10-2 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less.

Saint Mary's Gaels:  None.

Loyola Marymount Lions:  None.

"Any time you can win a championship, it's great. The fact it happened here is just how it worked out." - Randy Bennett after his team’s win against Gonzaga in their last game. 

"It's good to be back on the right side of the win-loss column. It always helps to make some shots." - Stan Johnson after his team’s win against Pepperdine in their last game. 

L. Barrett 

A. Marciulionis 

P. Murauskas 

J. Ross 

M. Saxen

R. Issanza 

W. Johnston 

A. Merkviladze 

J. Porter 

C. Stone-Carrawell

PPG: A. Marciulionis (14.2)

APG: A. Marciulionis (6.2)

Reb/G: P. Murauskas (8.1)

PPG: C. Stone-Carrawell (13.5)

APG: W. Johnston (3.1)

Reb/G: J. Porter (7.4)

Coaches:

Saint Mary's Gaels: Randy Bennett (24th season)

Loyola Marymount Lions: Stan Johnson (5th season)