Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/11/2024

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Feb 10, 2024
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, February 11, 2024
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Where to Watch:  BSOK


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  238 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  238 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +4.5, Thunder -4.5; Over/Under:  238 points

Season Record

Sacramento Kings:  30-21 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  35-16 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Sacramento Kings:  7-3 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10


Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis


The Kings are entering this game with a 30-21 record overall and they are 15-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Malik Monk led the team in points in that game with 23 while Keegan Murray and Domantas Sabonis each were next on the team with 17 points. Domantas Sabonis and De'Aaron Fox each led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 58.6% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.9 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 27-23-1 this season and their O/U record is 26-23-2.



The Thunder are entering this game with a 35-16 record overall and they are 20-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Utah Jazz in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Dallas Mavericks still to be played on Saturday. In their game against the Jazz, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 28 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 26 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.8% from the field, 51.4% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 31-19-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-22.


Kings vs Thunder Prediction

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked really good in their games this season with their 35-16 record overall which has them near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA right now. They have also looked great on their home court all season with their 20-6 home record. Meanwhile, the Kings have looked good in their games this season with their 30-21 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now. They have been a good road team this year too but they haven't been at their best in those games with their 15-12 road record. They have looked good in their games lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they also beat the Nuggets in their last one too, but they have also been a really up and down team this year that is very streaky. They do have a rest advantage in this game with the Thunder playing on a back-to-back here, but the Thunder are also 7-3 in their last 10 games and have a lot of momentum right now as they are fighting for the top seed in the West. The Thunder have a younger team and can play this game on a back-to-back with no issues, especially with how good they have looked at home this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, February 11, 2024 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 122 Kings 114.
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NBA Betting Trends


Sacramento Kings: 1-5 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 2-7 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more. 26-19 OVER against Northwest division opponents. 9-5 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games. 10-5 OVER after scoring 136 points or more.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 31-19 ATS in all games. 13-7 ATS as a home favorite. 13-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 29-12 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 11-4 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-2 OVER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 

Key Injuries


Sacramento Kings:  C. Duarte (SG) Late Feb - Ankle.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  I. Joe (PG) Prob Sat - Sternum.


Notable Quotes


“I told our guys, ‘I believe in you. You guys have a chance to be great.’ It shouldn’t take a loss like we had for us to lock in like we did tonight. It’s up to us to lock in, focus on the small details and go out there and perform for 48 minutes from start to finish. If we do, we’ll be happy where we are at the end of the year.” - Mike Brown after his team’s win against the Nuggets in their game on Friday.


"I give Utah credit, they showed great resolve. I thought the glass was a huge issue, and the paint was a huge issue. I thought the physicality (Utah) showed in the paint.… Was very uncharacteristic of us on both ends and really didn’t give us a lot of margin.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Jazz in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Kevin Huerter
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Josh Giddey
SF Luguentz Dort
PF Jalen Williams
C Chet Holmgren

Statistical Leaders


Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (26.6)
APG: D. Sabonis (8.2)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.2)

Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)
Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.5)

Coaches:
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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