Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/01/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 1, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  NBCS-CA

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +10, Thunder -10; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +10, Thunder -10; Over/Under:  232.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +9.5, Thunder -9.5; Over/Under:  232.5 points

Sacramento Kings:  24-23 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  37-9 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Sacramento Kings:  6-4 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

The Kings are entering this game with a 24-23 record overall this season and they are 11-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia 76ers. Malik Monk led the team in points in that game with 21 while DeMar DeRozan and De'Aaron Fox each were next on the team with 19 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 44.4% from the field, 24.4% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 17-26-4 this season and their O/U record is 24-21-2.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 37-9 record overall this season and they are 19-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Golden State Warriors. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 52 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 26 points. Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 40.4% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 104.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 27-17-3 this season and their O/U record is 24-21-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 37-9 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 19-3 home record, one of the best home records in the NBA this season. Meanwhile, the Kings have looked good in their games this season with their 24-23 record overall, but that record has them in the bottom half of the West. They have looked a lot better in their games lately, playing a lot better after firing their head coach, but it seems that initial boost is starting to wear off now. They are still 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they are coming off a bad loss to the 76ers in their last one and are definitely starting to cool off now. The Thunder have been consistent all season though and they are the hotter team coming into this one, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Thunder are also coming off a road loss to the Warriors in their last one and that game was right on the table for them in the 4th quarter so they will be looking to bounce back in a big way now that they are back on their home court where they have been so good this season. Look for the Thunder to bounce back in this game and take advantage of a Kings team that is starting to cool off now after the initial new coach bump they were getting. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, February 1, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 129 Kings 113.

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Sacramento Kings: 14-23 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 5-10 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 14-21 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 27-20 OVER off a road loss. 23-14 OVER after playing 3 consecutive road games. 12-7 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%).

Oklahoma City Thunder: 51-29 ATS as a home favorite. 33-19 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 25-15 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 27-16 OVER against Pacific division opponents. 32-16 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 13-5 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite.

Sacramento Kings:  D. McDermott (SF) Day To Day - Illness.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  C. Holmgren (PF) Out - Hip. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Toe. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“I think, for the most part, when you are inside, we just treat everybody like a brother.” - DeMar DeRozan on the locker room.

"Yeah, I mean, it's part of a broader question. Which is, you need to have a menu of attacks for different schemes that teams are going to throw at you, and the better you are, the more you see the schemes. So we get blitzed, mainly with Shai (Gilgeous-Alexander). Teams run at us, that happened in the Dallas game last week, in the Cleveland game as well, at home, team zone. So we've got to be ready to attack all those things and be ready to pivot to them quickly when a team draws on them. Usually a team doesn't start doing that stuff, they adjust to that in a game, and we've got to adjust just as quickly." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Warriors in their game on Wednesday.

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Malik Monk

SF DeMar DeRozan

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Cason Wallace

SF Luguentz Dort

PF Jalen Williams

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: D. Fox (25.1)

APG: D. Sabonis (6.6)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (14.5)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.5)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (12.4)

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Doug Christie (Interim)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)