Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/04/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 03, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 4, 2023
Venue:  Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA 
Where to Watch:  BSNO


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +2.5, Pelicans -2.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +2, Pelicans -2; Over/Under:  237 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +2, Pelicans -2; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Season Record

Sacramento Kings:  47-31 (1st place, Pacific Division)
New Orleans Pelicans:  40-38 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Sacramento Kings:  6-4 last 10
New Orleans Pelicans:  7-3 last 10


Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Preview and Analysis


The Kings are coming into this game with a 47-31 record overall and they are 24-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 28 while Domantas Sabonis was next on the team with 26 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.6% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 78.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.3 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 43-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-37-1.



The Pelicans are coming into this game with a 40-38 record overall and they are 25-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Brandon Ingram led the team in points in that game with 36 while Jonas Valančiūnas was next on the team with 23 points. Brandon Ingram led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jonas Valančiūnas led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 48.8% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 88.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.2 PPG against them. The Pelicans have an ATS record of 38-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 37-41.


Kings vs Pelicans Prediction

The current betting odds have the Pelicans listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pelicans haven't been great this season with their 40-38 record overall but they have been holding up well without their best player in the lineup who has missed a lot of games now. They have still been a great home team without Zion as they are 25-13 in home games this season and they have been getting hot lately with 2 wins in a row now. The Kings have been very good this year with their 47-31 record overall making them one of the best teams in the West and they have been a really good road team too with their 24-14 road record. They just lost a bad game to the Spurs though when they have been beating up on a lot of bad teams lately and they are going to struggle a lot more against a good Pelicans team that has been tough to beat at home and starting to get really hot now that the playoffs are near. The Pelicans still have a lot of good players in their lineup and need to fight to keep their play-in spot while the Kings have already clinched. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pelicans to cover the spread in this game.

Kings Pelicans Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 4, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Pelicans 121 Kings 116.
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NBA Betting Trends


Sacramento Kings: 25-13 ATS in road games. 13-3 ATS off a home loss. 9-2 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less.
New Orleans Pelicans: 5-10 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 24-15 UNDER as a favorite. 11-4 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest.

Key Injuries


Sacramento Kings:  M. Monk (SG) Ques Tues - Leg. M. Dellavedova (PG) Out indefinitely - Finger.
New Orleans Pelicans:  J. Alvarado (PG) Mid April - Shin. Z. Williamson (PF) Mid April - Hamstring. E. Liddell (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“We have not been good defensively at home. The reality of it is we play sort of soft at home. I hate to say it, but that’s it’s what it is. It’s factual. We have trouble stopping people on our home floor." - Mike Brown after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Sunday.


“If you want to be the best, you’ve got to go against the best and you’ve got to beat them. That’s one of the things that was in my head tonight, just trying to get this win.” - Brandon Ingram after their win against the Clippers in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Kevin Huerter
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

New Orleans Pelicans
PG CJ McCollum
SG Trey Murphy III
SF Brandon Ingram
PF Herbert Jones
C Jonas Valanciunas

Statistical Leaders


Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (25.2)
APG: D. Sabonis (7.2)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.4)

New Orleans Pelicans
PPG: Z. Williamson (26)
APG: C. McCollum (5.8)
Reb/G: J. Valanciunas (10.1)

Coaches:
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (1st season)
New Orleans Pelicans: Willie Green (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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