Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/01/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Feb 29, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 1, 2024
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN 
Where to Watch:  BSN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +6, Timberwolves -6; Over/Under:  223.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +6, Timberwolves -6; Over/Under:  223.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +6, Timberwolves -6; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Season Record

Sacramento Kings:  33-25 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  42-17 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Sacramento Kings:  4-6 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10


Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis


The Kings are entering this game with a 33-25 record overall and they are 17-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Keegan Murray led the team in points in that game with 21 while Chris Duarte was next on the team with 18 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 40% from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range, and 61.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.8 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 29-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-26-3.



The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 42-17 record overall and they are 22-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Brooklyn Nets, the San Antonio Spurs, and the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 34 while Naz Reid was next on the team with 19 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 49.4% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 30-27-2 this season and their O/U record is 28-30-1.


Kings vs Timberwolves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked great in their games this season with their 42-17 record overall which has them leading the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court this season with their 22-6 home record. Meanwhile, the Kings have also looked good in their games this season with their 33-25 record overall, but that record also has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now and right on the cusp of a true playoff spot. They have also been a good road team this season with a winning record in those games but haven't been at their best with their 17-15 road record. The Kings haven't looked that great in their games lately either with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games and they have also lost a lot of their momentum with 2 losses in a row now. The Timberwolves are the much hotter team coming into this one with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games but they also have a lot more momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now. The Timberwolves are also in a really close race for the number 1 seed in the West so they have to keep winning games to keep their place and will be looking to take advantage of the way the Kings have looked lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 1, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 121 Kings 109.
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NBA Betting Trends


Sacramento Kings: 4-8 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 4-8 ATS after scoring 105 points or less. 9-5 OVER off a road loss. 6-1 OVER after scoring 100 points or less. 26-19 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 29-19 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 5-1 ATS after allowing 105 points or less 3 straight games. 16-9 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 11-4 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 5-1 OVER after allowing 105 points or less in 3 straight games.

Key Injuries


Sacramento Kings:  D. Fox (PG) Ques Fri - Knee. S. Vezenkov (SF) Late March - Ankle.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  K. Anderson (SF) Ques Fri - Hamstring. J. Clark (SG) Early March - Achilles.


Notable Quotes


“They started getting deflections and we started making bad decisions with the basketball. As soon as that happened you could see how hard they pushed and ran in transition.” - Mike Brown after his team’s loss against the Nuggets in their game on Wednesday.


“He took the Jackson matchup and basically shut his water off. He did a great job of turning the game around on both ends of the floor in the third.” - Chris Finch on Anthony Edwards after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Kevin Huerter
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Karl-Anthony Towns
C Rudy Gobert

Statistical Leaders


Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (26.9)
APG: D. Sabonis (8.4)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.2)

Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (26.6)
APG: M. Conley (6.2)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.6)

Coaches:
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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