Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/28/2022

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Monday, March 28, 2022

Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +13.5, Heat -13.5; Over/Under:  219 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +13, Heat -13; Over/Under:  219.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +13.5, Heat -13.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

 

Sacramento Kings:  27-48 (5th place, Pacific Division)

Miami Heat:  47-28 (1st place, Southeast Division)

 

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Sacramento Kings:  3-7 last 10

Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

 

 

 

The Kings are coming into this game with a 27-48 record overall and they are 11-25 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Phoenix Suns while their 2 wins since then have come against the Indiana Pacers and the Orlando Magic in their last game. Davion Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 22 while Harrison Barnes was next on the team with 19 points. Mitchell led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Trey Lyles led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 42.9% from the field, 30.6% from 3-point range, and 79.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.5 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 115.7 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 36-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-34-1.

 

 

The Heat are coming into this game with a 47-28 record overall and they are 26-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 4 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Oklahoma City Thunder while their 4 losses since then have come against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Golden State Warriors, the New York Knicks, and the Brooklyn Nets in their last game. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 14 while Tyler Herro and Max Strus off the bench were both next on the team with 13 points each. Victor Oladipo led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Dewayne Dedmon led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.1 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 105.2 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 40-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 43-31-1.

 

 

The Kings are coming into this game playing much better in their recent games. They have won 2 straight coming into this one but they have been playing very well in their last 3 games. It started with a close loss in OT to the best team in the NBA, the Suns, but they followed that up with wins against the Pacers and the Magic which are not exactly great wins but both wins came on the road as well and they really fought hard in those games. They almost lost to the Magic as they were trailing by 8 points with less than a minute left in the game but they fought back to force an OT and they pulled away to get the win. They have been grinding out their last 3 games very hard and they are going up against a Heat team that has not been playing well recently. The Heat have lost 4 straight games coming into this one and they have not been missing any starters from their lineup in these games either. The Heat have already clinched their division and with few games left they may be focused more on getting to the playoffs healthy now. They have been losing their games by double digits as well and with how the Kings have been playing recently, they could grind this game out and catch the Heat off guard here as they have not been sharp recently. With how both of these teams have been playing recently, the Kings should be able to keep this a close game where the Heat only win by a few points.

 

Kings Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, March 28, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Heat 116 Kings 109.

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Sacramento Kings: 22-45 ATS after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less. 14-8 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 12-4 OVER off an upset win as an underdog.

Miami Heat: 10-5 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 14-4 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or less. 17-4 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points.

 

 

Sacramento Kings:  D. Fox (PG) Ques Mon - Hand injury. D. Sabonis (PF) Early April - Knee injury. R. Holmes (PF) out for season - Personal. T. Davis II (SG) out for season - Wrist injury.

Miami Heat:  G. Vincent (SG) Ques Mon - Toe injury.

 

 

 

"It was a good win for us. We've been struggling on the road. Just to come and find a way to win a game on the road is really important to us. It makes a statement that these guys haven't quit. They're still battling and do the best they can to win games. We found a way to make a few plays offensively and defensively to win." - Alvin Gentry on his team’s win against the Pacers on Wednesday night.

 

 

"We're not concerned in the sense of, like, panicking. But, yeah, we have to fix some stuff." - Kyle Lowry after their loss against the Nets on Saturday night.

 

 

 

PG     Davion Mitchell

SG     Justin Holiday

SF     Harrison Barnes

PF     Trey Lyles

C     Damian Jones

 

PG     Kyle Lowry

SG     Duncan Robinson

SF     Jimmy Butler

PF    P.J. Tucker

C     Bam Adebayo

 

 

PPG: D. Fox (23.2)

APG: D. Fox (5.6)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.1)

 

PPG: J. Butler (21.1)

APG: K. Lowry (7.5)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.1)

 

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Alvin Gentry (Interim)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)