Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/31/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, January 31, 2024

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings -1, Heat +1; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings -1, Heat +1; Over/Under:  230.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings -1, Heat +1; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Sacramento Kings:  27-18 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Miami Heat:  24-23 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Sacramento Kings:  6-4 last 10

Miami Heat:  3-7 last 10

The Kings are entering this game with a 27-18 record overall and they are 13-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Atlanta Hawks, the Golden State Warriors, the Dallas Mavericks, and the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 23 while Domantas Sabonis was next on the team with 20 points. Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 26. They were 51.2% from the field, 28.9% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.5 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 24-20-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-22-2.

The Heat are entering this game with a 24-23 record overall and they are 12-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game losing streak with losses coming against the Toronto Raptors, the Atlanta Hawks, the Orlando Magic, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Boston Celtics, the New York Knicks, and the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Jimmy Butler led the team in points in that game with 26 while Terry Rozier was next on the team with 21 points. Bam Adebayo led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 39.3% from the field, 38.9% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.7 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 19-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 20-27.

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Kings have looked good in their games this season with their 27-18 record overall which has them surging up the standings in the West right now, currently holding down a playoff spot. They haven't looked great in their road games this year but they have still been a good road team with their 13-10 road record. Meanwhile, the Heat haven't looked great in their games this season with their 24-23 record overall which has them fighting for a play-in spot in the East right now. They haven't even looked that good in their home games this year with their 12-11 home record and they have also been terrible in their games lately, losing 7 games in a row now with no momentum on their side. The Kings have looked a lot better lately though with 4 wins in a row now and they are starting to get hot once again. The Kings have more talent on their team right now as the Heat have been really up and down all season and now have to deal with some new players in the lineup which is taking time for them to get used to. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, January 31, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Kings 121 Heat 109.

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Sacramento Kings: 9-3 ATS as an underdog. 15-8 ATS in road games. 11-5 ATS after 3 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 8-4 UNDER as an underdog. 9-3 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 12-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.

Miami Heat: 18-27 ATS in all games. 8-15 ATS in home games. 7-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 11-5 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 6-0 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 16-8 UNDER after 3 straight losses by 10 points or more.

Sacramento Kings:  S. Vezenkov (SF) Early Feb - Ankle.

Miami Heat:  D. Robinson (SF) Ques Wed - Illness. D. Smith (SG) out for season - Knee.

“I'm not saying he's Wilt but to be mentioned in that category for putting up that statistical line like he did, that's absolutely amazing.” - Mike Brown on Domantas Sabonis after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Monday.

“I just want to see the effort, the toughness, the physicality, the force, the multiple efforts to get through this to see what’s on the other side. We know that there’s something that potentially can be great on the other side. But you got to go through it. You've got to go through the fires together and these uncomfortable times together.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Monday.

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Kevin Huerter

SF Harrison Barnes

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PG Terry Rozier 

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Haywood Highsmith

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: D. Fox (27.5)

APG: D. Sabonis (7.9)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13)

PPG: T. Rozier (21.9)

APG: T. Rozier (6.4)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.5)

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)