Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/28/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, April 28, 2023

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  235 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +7, Warriors -7; Over/Under:  235 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

Sacramento Kings:  48-34 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Sacramento Kings:  3-7 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10

The Kings finished the regular season with a 48-34 record overall and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with all 3 losses coming against the Golden State Warriors in their last 3 games. In game 5, De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 24 while Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk each were next on the team with 21 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 46.7% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 48-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 43-43-1.

The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with all 3 wins coming against the Sacramento Kings in their last 3 games. In game 5, Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 31 while Klay Thompson was next on the team with 25 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 22. They were 52.1% from the field, 28.9% from 3-point range, and 63.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 41-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 47-37-3.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the 3rd seeded Kings and the 6th seeded Warriors for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Warriors are entering this game with a 3-2 series lead after winning the last 3 games in a row in this series. The Warriors started this series down 2-0 after losing both road games but now they have taken back all the momentum with 3 wins in a row and have even stolen a road game in their last one. The Kings are now facing elimination and it doesn't help that their best player is dealing with a finger injury that definitely affected his shooting in the last game. The Kings may have won the Pacific Division this year in the regular season but they still have to go through the defending champions here who have plenty of experience when it comes to closing out a series on their home court. There is no way back in this series for the Kings as their inexperience has shown in the last few games when they had chances to win but couldn't pull it off in the end. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game and close out the series 4-2.

Kings Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 28, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 120 Kings 107.

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Sacramento Kings: 14-4 ATS off a home loss. 25-11 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 14-6 UNDER as a road underdog. 24-16 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.

Golden State Warriors: 7-14 ATS vs. division opponents. 17-26 ATS after 3 consecutive division games. 24-11 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 24-16 UNDER in home games. 

Sacramento Kings:  M. Dellavedova (PG) Out indefinitely - Finger.

Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Mid May - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.

“Yeah, no doubt. He’s shown a lot of toughness being out there in the first place.” - Mike Brown on the injury to De’Aaron Fox after his team’s loss against the Warriors in their game on Wednesday, game 5 of this series.

“The experience that they’ve had over the last decade playing in a lot of big games, it’s definitely helpful. I thought they did a great job tonight of staying poised down the stretch when Sacramento made their run and really made some big plays in the last five minutes to seal it.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the Kings in their game on Wednesday, game 5 of this series.

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Kevin Huerter

SF Harrison Barnes

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Draymond Green

C Kevon Looney

PPG: D. Fox (25)

APG: D. Sabonis (7.3)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.3)

PPG: S. Curry (29.4)

APG: D. Green (6.8)

Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (1st season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)