Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/23/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Apr 21, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Sunday, April 23, 2023
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  238 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  238 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Season Record

Sacramento Kings:  48-34 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Sacramento Kings:  5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10


Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Kings finished the regular season with a 48-34 record overall and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Golden State Warriors in their last game. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 26 while Harrison Barnes was next on the team with 17 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 38% from the field, 23.4% from 3-point range, and 69.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 47-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 41-43-1.



The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 36 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 20 points. Kevon Looney led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 20. They were 40% from the field, 32% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 40-44-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-37-3.


Kings vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 3rd seeded Kings and the 6th seeded Warriors for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Kings enter this game with a 2-1 series lead and so far the home team has won every game and covered. The Kings were a good road team this season with their 25-16 road record, but the Warriors were 33-8 in their home games this season and they showed just how good they can be in game 3 of this series. The Warriors needed to step up in game 3 to avoid going down 3-0 in the series and they came up big with a 17 point win. Now that they have some momentum on their side from that win and still have 1 more game at home with a chance to even up the series, the Warriors are going to come out strong and ensure they get out to a big lead here. The Warriors are still the defending champions and they are going to defend their home court with a chance to even the series with a lot of momentum going into Sacramento. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game.

Kings Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 23, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Warriors 117 Kings 101.
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NBA Betting Trends


Sacramento Kings: 27-15 ATS in road games. 24-11 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 14-5 UNDER as a road underdog. 21-11 UNDER off a road loss by 10 points or more.

Golden State Warriors: 6-13 ATS vs. division opponents. 16-25 ATS after 3 consecutive division games. 24-10 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 18-6 UNDER when trailing in a playoff series.

Key Injuries


Sacramento Kings:  M. Dellavedova (PG) Out indefinitely - Finger.

Golden State Warriors:  G. Payton II (PG) Ques Sun - Illness. A. Iguodala (SG) Early May - Wrist. D. Green (PF) Elig Sun - Suspension. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.


Notable Quotes


“You have to understand that these guys aren’t going to lay down. They have a lot of pride. They’ve won a championship. " - Harrison Barnes after their loss against the Warriors in their game on Thursday, game 3 of this series.


“We’re a team with a lot of pride, we know how to respond when our back’s against the wall, we always usually show up. I think Draymond knew that. Without him playing he knew how we were going to respond. He knew he could count on us to hold down the fort while he’s out. We’re excited to get him back next game.” - Kevon Looney after their win against the Kings in their game on Thursday, game 3 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Kevin Huerter
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney

Statistical Leaders


Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (25)
APG: D. Sabonis (7.3)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.3)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.4)
APG: D. Green (6.8)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Coaches:
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (1st season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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