Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/20/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Apr 18, 2023
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, April 20, 2023
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +7, Warriors -7; Over/Under:  238 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +7, Warriors -7; Over/Under:  238 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Season Record

Sacramento Kings:  48-34 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Sacramento Kings:  5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  6-4 last 10


Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Kings finished the regular season with a 48-34 record overall and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with both wins coming against the Golden State Warriors in their last 2 games. De'Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis each led the team in points in that game with 24 while Malik Monk was next on the team with 18 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 45.7% from the field, 23.7% from 3-point range, and 72.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 47-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 41-42-1.



The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with both losses coming against the Sacramento Kings in their last 2 games. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 28 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 22 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 47.6% from the field, 32.5% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 39-44-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-36-3.


Kings vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7-game series between the 3rd seeded Kings and the 6th seeded Warriors for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Kings have taken a 2-0 series lead here and they have been great in both of their games. The Warriors have been great in their home games all season with their 33-8 home record but the Kings have also been a better road team than at home and have a 25-16 road record this year. The Kings could go on to win this series by winning every home game in the series but they have been the better team in both games and have a chance to put a big dagger in the Warriors here by taking a 3-0 series lead and forcing them to win 2 road games if they want to have a chance at advancing. The Kings were one of the best teams in the West all year and they have been rolling in their games lately. They have the potential to pull off an upset win in this game so they will cover this spread with ease. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 20, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 124 Kings 120.
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NBA Betting Trends


Sacramento Kings: 24-10 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 27-15 ATS after playing a home game. 16-6 OVER off an upset win as a home underdog. 17-9 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins.
Golden State Warriors: 5-13 ATS vs. division opponents. 14-4 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 33-19 OVER off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite.

Key Injuries


Sacramento Kings:  M. Dellavedova (PG) Out indefinitely - Finger.
Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Late April - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.


Notable Quotes


“I think that brought us together. We huddled up and were like, 'We have to win this game.' Everybody thought he’d be ejected. When that happens, usually that team comes together and goes on a run. But we were able to negate that.” - De’Aaron Fox after their win against the Warriors in their game on Monday, game 2 of this series. 


“They played better than we did down the stretch. They played more physical than us tonight.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Kings in their game on Monday, game 2 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Sacramento Kings
PG De'Aaron Fox
SG Kevin Huerter
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Keegan Murray
C Domantas Sabonis

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney

Statistical Leaders


Sacramento Kings
PPG: D. Fox (25)
APG: D. Sabonis (7.3)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.3)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.4)
APG: D. Green (6.8)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Coaches:
Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (1st season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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