Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/13/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Mar 12, 2025
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 13, 2025
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Warriors -6.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Warriors -6.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Warriors -6.5; Over/Under:  234.5 points

Season Record

Sacramento Kings:  33-31 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Golden State Warriors:  37-28 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Sacramento Kings:  5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  9-1 last 10


Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Kings are entering this game with a 33-31 record overall this season and they are 17-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Los Angeles Clippers and the New York Knicks. Malik Monk led the team in points in that game with 21 while Zach LaVine was next on the team with 17 points. DeMar DeRozan led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jonas Valančiūnas led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 41.9% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.2 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 26-34-4 this season and their O/U record is 34-28-2.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 37-28 record overall this season and they are 19-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the New York Knicks, the Brooklyn Nets, the Detroit Pistons, and the Portland Trail Blazers. Gary Payton II led the team in points in that game with 26 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 24 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Jimmy Butler led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.9% from the field, 51.2% from 3-point range, and 90.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.3 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 33-30-2 this season and their O/U record is 33-32.


Kings vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 37-28 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked good on their home court with their 19-13 home record. Meanwhile, the Kings have looked good in their games this season with their 33-31 record overall, but that record has them in the bottom half of the West and in a play-in spot. They have been a decent road team with their 17-16 road record this season, but they have also been really up and down all year. They have already been through a coaching change and made some moves at the trade deadline, but nothing has really changed for them as they continue to hover right around .500 where they have been all year. They haven't looked that great lately either as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have lost 2 games in a row now. The Warriors were in a similar situation as they were hovering right around .500 and couldn't gain any ground in the standings, but their team has completely changed since acquiring Jimmy Butler. They have been climbing the standings in the West over the last few weeks, now in a true playoff spot, and they have also been really hot lately. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now. The Warriors are going to continue rolling in this home game with the Kings not being at their best lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 13, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 122 Kings 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


Sacramento Kings: 11-5 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 31-19 ATS off a home loss. 12-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 36-22 UNDER as a road underdog. 6-2 UNDER off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more. 

Golden State Warriors: 15-26 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 9-15 ATS at home when playing with 2 days rest. 29-42 1H ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 41-28 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 

Key Injuries


Sacramento Kings:  J. LaRavia (PF) Day To Day - Knee. J. Crowder (PF) Day To Day - Back. D. Sabonis (C) Out - Hamstring.

Golden State Warriors:  B. Podziemski (SG) Day To Day - Back. J. Kuminga (PF) Day To Day - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“We can look for excuses. We can look for reasons, but it’s on us. It’s on us tonight. It was embarrassing. We didn’t come out with the energy. We didn’t play our game, so we’ve got to be better. Simple as that. I know it’s not easy to do, but we have to find our energy, find our style of play and be better.” - Jonas Valanciunas after their loss against the Knicks in their game on Monday.


"You can't get a triple-double without your teammates. That's for damn sure. Whether they miss the shot and you get the rebound, or they make the shot whenever you pass it to them. [Triple-double] is just a word. I'm just happy that we won -- triple-double or not. I take these wins as they come." - Jimmy Butler after their win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Sacramento Kings
PG Malik Monk
SG Zach LaVine
SF DeMar DeRozan
PF Keegan Murray
C Jonas Valanciunas

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Buddy Hield
SF Jimmy Butler
PF Moses Moody
C Draymond Green 

Statistical Leaders


Sacramento Kings
PPG: Z. LaVine (23.8)
APG: D. Sabonis (6.2)
Reb/G: D. Sabonis (14.1)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (24.5)
APG: S. Curry (6.1)
Reb/G: K. Looney (6.6)

Coaches:
Sacramento Kings: Doug Christie (Interim)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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