Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/05/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ALT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  236.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  236.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  236.5 points

Sacramento Kings:  32-28 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  39-22 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Sacramento Kings:  7-3 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Kings are entering this game with a 32-28 record overall this season and they are 17-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Utah Jazz, the Houston Rockets, and the Dallas Mavericks. Zach LaVine led the team in points in that game with 22 while DeMar DeRozan was next on the team with 20 points. Malik Monk led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jonas Valančiūnas and Trey Lyles each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 52.2% from the field, 47.1% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 23-33-4 this season and their O/U record is 31-27-2.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 39-22 record overall this season and they are 20-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Celtics. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 26 while Christian Braun was next on the team with 24 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 47.7% from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range, and 69.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 31-29-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-25.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-22 record overall which has them right near the top of the West and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on their home court too with their 20-9 home record. Meanwhile, the Kings have looked good in their games this season with their 32-28 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West, but that record also has them in a play-in spot. They have been a good road team with their 17-14 road record and they have also been really hot lately. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They are coming off a huge win over the Mavericks in their last one too, but the Mavs also lost Kyrie Irving in that game and a lot of their wins lately have been against bottom feeders. The Kings also made some changes to their team at the trade deadline, but it hasn't really paid off yet as they continue to hover right around .500. The Nuggets are also coming into this one just as hot, going 7-3 in their last 10 games too. They don't have the momentum on their side since they are coming off a road loss to the Celtics in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back against a weaker team at home so look for the Nuggets to bring their best effort here. The Kings have been hot lately, but they have also been really up and down over the last few weeks while the Nuggets have been hot over the last 2 months, climbing up the standings in the West as they round into playoff form. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 5, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 120 Kings 107.

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Sacramento Kings: 15-26 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 12-21 1H ATS when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days. 35-21 UNDER as a road underdog. 18-10 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 

Denver Nuggets: 33-17 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 56-36 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 38-23 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 19-6 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games. 

Sacramento Kings:  D. Sabonis (C) Out - Hamstring.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Čančar (PF) Day To Day - Knee. A. Gordon (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles. P. Watson (SF) Out - Knee.

“Just continue to fight and work on us. This isn’t really about our opponent right now.” - Doug Christie on the team’s success since taking over as the head coach.

"Yeah, I've limped basically the past 14 years." - Nikola Jokic on his limp after their loss against the Celtics in their game on Sunday.

PG Malik Monk

SG Zach LaVine

SF DeMar DeRozan

PF Keegan Murray

C Jonas Valanciunas

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: Z. LaVine (23.7)

APG: D. Sabonis (6.2)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (14.1)

PPG: N. Jokić (28.9)

APG: N. Jokić (10.4)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.7)

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Doug Christie (Interim)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)