Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/14/2024

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ALT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +6, Nuggets -6; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +6, Nuggets -6; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Sacramento Kings:  30-22 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  36-18 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Sacramento Kings:  6-4 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10

The Kings are entering this game with a 30-22 record overall and they are 15-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Phoenix Suns still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Thunder, Malik Monk led the team in points in that game with 26 while Domantas Sabonis was next on the team with 21 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.9% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 69.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.1 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 27-24-1 this season and their O/U record is 26-23-3.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 36-18 record overall and they are 21-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Sacramento Kings and the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 29 while Aaron Gordon was next on the team with 14 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 38.3% from the field, 27.5% from 3-point range, and 70.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 22-30-2 this season and their O/U record is 20-34.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 36-18 record overall which has them near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court all year with their 21-4 home record. Meanwhile, the Kings have also looked good in their games this season with their 30-22 record overall which has them fighting for a play-in spot in the West right now, right on the cusp of a true playoff spot. They haven't been a bad road team this season either but they haven't been at their best in those games with their 15-13 road record, and they also just lost their last game on the road to a strong team in the Thunder. Both of these teams are 6-4 in their last 10 games and looking to bounce back here but the Nuggets have a clear advantage on their home court this season and will be looking to bounce back more after 2 losses in a row now. They also lost both of those games in blowout fashion and 1 of those losses was against the Kings just last week so that loss is still fresh in their minds and the Nuggets are catching the Kings in a terrible situation here since the Kings are also playing this game on a back-to-back. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, February 14, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 127 Kings 102.

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Sacramento Kings: 32-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 19-9 ATS after allowing 130 points or more. 36-20 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 21-14 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 19-11 UNDER after 6 or more consecutive overs.

Denver Nuggets: 1-6 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 4-9 ATS off a road loss. 19-30 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more. 17-6 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 30-17 UNDER as a favorite. 18-10 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games.

Sacramento Kings:  C. Duarte (SG) Ques Tues - Ankle. S. Vezenkov (SF) Late Feb - Ankle.

Denver Nuggets:  H. Tyson (SF) Ques Wed - Finger. J. Murray (SG) Ques Wed - Leg. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“SGA (Gilgeous-Alexander) played like an MVP candidate. We threw the kitchen sink at him and he still scored 38. And then Jalen Williams was really, really big. And I say he’s big because he had 32 but he was extremely efficient throughout the course of the night.” - Mike Brown after his team’s loss against the Thunder in their game on Sunday.

“I think for me as a head coach, I’ve got to make sure I am not overreacting and panicking while also that delicate balance of holding (them) accountable and letting them know how we’re playing right now these last two games is not good enough. We’ve got an opportunity to go home and right the ship before we go into the break.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Bucks in their game on Monday.

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Kevin Huerter

SF Harrison Barnes

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: D. Fox (26.4)

APG: D. Sabonis (8.3)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (13.2)

PPG: N. Jokic (26.3)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.2)

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (2nd season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)